Table 4 Parameter Estimates for Ebola Sudan
Parameter | Estimate |
|---|---|
Incubation Period Distribution (range of central estimates, (range)) * | 3.35–14 (2–21) days |
R 0 (range of estimates) | 1.34–2.7 |
 Chowell et al. (estimate, s.d.)44 | 1.34, 0.03 |
 Legrand et al. (estimate, (95% CI))59 | 2.7 (2.5, 4.1) |
 Ferrari et al. (estimate, (95% CI))58 | 1.79 (1.52, 2.30) |
Delay Distributions (days) | |
 Infectious period… | |
Chowell et al. (mean, s.d.) 44 | 3.50,0.67 |
 Symptom onset to… | |
 … hospitalization | 2 |
Borchert et al. (mean, (range), n) 51 | 2 (0–8), n=26 |
 … death | 9 |
Baron et al. (median, (range), n) 24 | Med=9 (5–15), n=22 |
 … discharge | 12 |
Okware et al. (mean, (range), median) 53 | 12, (2–35), 13 |
 Hospitalization to… | |
 … discharge (range of mean estimates) | 8–10 |
Borchert et al. (mean, (range), n) 51 | 8.0 (2–11) n=8 |
Okware et al. (mean, (range)) 53 | 10 (1–29) |
 … death | 6.1 |
Borchert et al. (mean, (range), n) 51 | 6.1 (2–13) n=18 |
Case Fatality Rate †(range of estimates) | 0.53–0.69 |
 WHO International Study Team (estimate, n, year of outbreak)1 | 0.53, n=284, 1976 |
 Baron et al. (estimate, n, year of outbreak)24 | 0.65, n=34, 1979 |
 Okware et al. (estimate, n, year of outbreak)53 | 0.53, n=425, 2000–2001 |
 Lamunu et al. (estimate, n, year of outbreak)52 | 0.53, n=425, 2000–2001 |
 Chowell et al. (estimate, n, year of outbreak)44 | 0.53, n=425, 2000–2001 |
 Borchert et al. (estimate, n, year of outbreak)51 | 0.69, n=26, 2000 |
