Table 5 Parameter Estimates for Ebola Bundibugyo

From: A review of epidemiological parameters from Ebola outbreaks to inform early public health decision-making

Parameter Estimate

Estimate

Incubation Period Distribution (days) (mean, (95% CI), median, (range)) *

6.3 (5.2, 7.3), Med=7 (2–20)

Delay Distributions (days)

 Symptom onset to…

 … hospitalization

3.5

Roddy et al. (median, (range), n) 19

Med=3.5 (0–8), n=26

 … death (range of medians)

9–10

Roddy et al. (median, (range), n) 19

Med=9 (3–20), n=11

Wamala et al. (median, (range), n) 47

Med=10 (3–21), n=(NP)

 …recovery

10

Wamala et al. (median, (range), n) 47

Med=10 (2–26), n=(NP)

Case Fatality Rate † (range of estimates)

0.34–0.42

 MacNeil et al. (estimate, n, year of outbreak)46

0.40, n=43‡, 2007

 Wamala et al. (estimate, n, year of outbreak)47

0.34, n=116, 2007

 Roddy et al. (estimate, n, year of outbreak)19

0.42, n=26 (hospitalized confirmed), 2007–08

  1. Med=median; (NP)=Not Provided.
  2. *See Fig. 1 for individual estimates.
  3. †See Fig. 2 for CFR estimates.
  4. ‡Confirmed cases only.