Figure 1

Structure of the Bayesian Belief Network.
The conceptual diagram of the Bayesian Belief Network shows the elements of the impact assessment and vulnerability assessment. Adaptation actions are introduced to the vulnerability assessment and compared against the baseline no-action scenario. Site data and adaptation action variables are deterministic, with the rest of the model following stochastic principles defined by climate projection data scenarios in line with probabilistic occurrence ratios (defined in Supplementary Methods section). Variable relationships follow processes described in relevant literature (see Supplementary Information for references).