Figure 1
From: Robust assessment of the expansion and retreat of Mediterranean climate in the 21st century
Probability of Mediterranean climate (PMED; see Method for definition) simulated by the CMIP5 models (shaded in red for the period 2070–2100 and in green for 1979–2005).
The contour lines (red for the period 2070–2100 and green for 1979–2005) correspond to 0.5 value. Histogram insets indicate, over each land domain, the change of Mediterranean areal coverage (AMED in units of 105 Km2) with respect to historical (1979–2005) period (MID-21C in blue is for 2035–2065, END-21C in red for 2070–2100). Error bars indicate the uncertainty estimated by the 10th and 90th percentiles of the synthetic distribution obtained by resampling the multi-model members through a Monte Carlo bootstrap (1000 repetitions) procedure. The map in this figure was drawn using Matlab.
