Figure 4
From: Robust assessment of the expansion and retreat of Mediterranean climate in the 21st century
Amplification (2070–2100 minus 1979–2005) of the DJF (blue) vs. JJA (red) precipitation seasonality over zones experiencing a transition from warm temperate to mediterranean (Warm Temp. to MED; denoted by crosses in Figures 2 and 3 with PMED in 2070–2100 > 0.5), Mediterranean to arid (MED to ARID; denoted by circles in Figures 2 and 3 with PMED in 2070–2100 < 0.5) and snow to Mediterranean climate (SNOW to MED; denoted by triangles in Figures 2 and 3 with PMED in 2070–2100 > 0.5). The Mediterranean zones already in place during the historical period (PMED > 0.5 in 1979–2005) and projected to persist during 21st century (PMED > 0.5 in 2070–2100) are also reported (MED to MED). Error bars indicate the uncertainty estimated by the 10th and 90th percentiles of the synthetic distribution obtained by resampling the multi-model members using a Monte Carlo bootstrap (1000 repetitions) procedure.
