Figure 3 | Scientific Reports

Figure 3

From: Prion Amplification and Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Refine Detection of Prion Infection

Figure 3

Specificity and sensitivity estimates of sPMCA and IHC.

(a) Specificity estimates of sPMCA by amplification round. Three sample groups are presented: Known samples are positive controls used in previous studies and presented as raw data; Trusted samples are those which are verified by IHC or are from the 2011 sampling; and Unknown samples are all remaining samples which may include contamination-related false positives. (b) Overall sPMCA specificity estimates for Trusted and Unknown samples. The overall specificity of sPMCA is estimated at 93.9% (CI 90.1–96.9%) for Trusted samples and 63.4% (CI 52.6–74.1%) for Unknown samples. (c) Sensitivity of sPMCA by round. Sensitivity increases with each amplification round to 94.68% (CI 83.12–99.84%) by round 6. (d) Overall sensitivity estimates for IHC and sPMCA. Sensitivity estimates for IHC by individual tissue (obex (76.56%, CI 57.00–91.46%) and RPLN (90.06%, CI 74.13–98.70%)) and combined 98.99% (CI 90.01–100%); one replicate of sPMCA after 6 rounds (94.68%, CI 83.12–99.84%); and two replicates of sPMCA (99.51%, CI 97.15–100%).

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