Table 1 Parameter estimates of the transition matrix.

From: The stage-classified matrix models project a significant increase in biomass carbon stocks in China’s forests between 2005 and 2050

Age class

Young-aged

Mid-aged

Premature

Mature

Overmature

Young-aged

0.8557

0

0

0

0

Mid-aged

0.1442

0.9205

0

0

0

Premature

0

0.0792

0.9541

0

0

Mature

0

0

0.0447

0.9821

0

Overmature

0

0

0

0.0144

0.9992

Dead or harvested

0.0002

0.0003

0.0013

0.0036

0.0008

  1. The transition probabilities are calculated as the average of 10000 bootstrap re-sampling. The dead or be harvested probabilities are derived as follows: Pr (dead or be harvested for stage i) = 1- Pr (remaining within itself for stage i)- Pr (transferring into the next stage for stage i). For details, see Supplementary Table S1 for 95% confident interval for each parameter.