Table 1 Cox proportional hazard models in relation to climate, age and experimental treatments.
From: Large diurnal temperature range increases bird sensitivity to climate change
Easy foraging | Temperature variables [°C] | Age related correction variables [Years] | Developmental variables | Random term | Model Fit | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
environment Model | DTR | MinT | DTR*MinT | AgeStart | AgeStart*Age | DTR*Age | MinT*Age | Brood Size | Brood Size *DTR | Brood Size *Age | Aviary | df | AICc | ΔAICc | weight |
1 | 1.36 | 0.89 | 0.953 | 1.25 | NA | 0.74 | 1.06 | NA | NA | NA | + | 10 | 1269 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
2 | 1.22 | 0.95 | 0.951 | 1.24 | NA | 0.83 | NA | NA | NA | NA | + | 9 | 1269 | 0.03 | 0.09 |
3 | 0.98 | 0.95 | 0.951 | 1.22 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | + | 8 | 1270 | 0.65 | 0.07 |
4 | 1.40 | 0.88 | 0.952 | 1.69 | 0.81 | 0.73 | 1.07 | NA | NA | NA | + | 11 | 1270 | 1.35 | 0.05 |
5 | 1.24 | 0.95 | 0.950 | 1.56 | 0.85 | 0.83 | NA | NA | NA | NA | + | 10 | 1271 | 1.62 | 0.04 |
6 | 1.36 | 0.89 | 0.953 | 1.26 | NA | 0.74 | 1.06 | 0.99 | NA | NA | + | 11 | 1271 | 1.86 | 0.04 |
7 | 1.22 | 0.95 | 0.951 | 1.24 | NA | 0.83 | NA | 0.99 | NA | NA | + | 10 | 1271 | 1.89 | 0.04 |
8 | 1.38 | 0.89 | 0.953 | 1.27 | NA | 0.74 | 1.06 | 1.13 | NA | 0.91 | + | 12 | 1271 | 2.08 | 0.03 |
9 | 0.97 | 0.91 | 0.952 | 1.23 | NA | NA | 1.03 | NA | NA | NA | + | 9 | 1271 | 2.08 | 0.03 |
10 | 1.23 | 0.95 | 0.951 | 1.25 | NA | 0.83 | NA | 1.13 | NA | 0.91 | + | 11 | 1271 | 2.08 | 0.03 |
11 | 1.20 | 0.95 | 0.951 | 1.25 | NA | 0.83 | NA | 0.98 | 0.97 | NA | + | 11 | 1271 | 2.31 | 0.03 |
12 | 0.98 | 0.95 | 0.951 | 1.47 | 0.88 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | + | 9 | 1271 | 2.39 | 0.03 |
13 | 1.24 | 0.95 | 0.951 | 1.26 | NA | 0.82 | NA | 1.12 | 0.97 | 0.90 | + | 12 | 1272 | 2.59 | 0.03 |
14 | 0.98 | 0.95 | 0.951 | 1.22 | NA | NA | NA | 0.99 | NA | NA | + | 9 | 1272 | 2.59 | 0.03 |
15 | 1.35 | 0.89 | 0.953 | 1.26 | NA | 0.74 | 1.06 | 0.98 | 0.97 | NA | + | 12 | 1272 | 2.66 | 0.02 |
16 | 1.39 | 0.89 | 0.953 | 1.27 | NA | 0.73 | 1.06 | 1.12 | 0.97 | 0.91 | + | 13 | 1272 | 2.81 | 0.02 |
17 | 0.98 | 0.95 | 0.951 | 1.23 | NA | NA | NA | 1.13 | NA | 0.91 | + | 10 | 1272 | 3.12 | 0.02 |
18 | 1.40 | 0.88 | 0.952 | 1.70 | 0.81 | 0.73 | 1.07 | 0.99 | NA | NA | + | 12 | 1272 | 3.22 | 0.02 |
19 | 1.24 | 0.95 | 0.950 | 1.56 | 0.85 | 0.83 | NA | 0.99 | NA | NA | + | 11 | 1272 | 3.49 | 0.02 |
20 | 0.97 | 0.95 | 0.951 | 1.22 | NA | NA | NA | 0.98 | 0.97 | NA | + | 10 | 1272 | 3.53 | 0.02 |
21 | 1.41 | 0.88 | 0.952 | 1.63 | 0.84 | 0.73 | 1.06 | 1.12 | NA | 0.91 | + | 13 | 1273 | 3.66 | 0.01 |
22 | 0.97 | 0.91 | 0.951 | 1.52 | 0.86 | NA | 1.04 | NA | NA | NA | + | 10 | 1273 | 3.75 | 0.01 |
23 | 1.25 | 0.95 | 0.950 | 1.50 | 0.88 | 0.82 | NA | 1.12 | NA | 0.91 | + | 12 | 1273 | 3.85 | 0.01 |
24 | 1.22 | 0.95 | 0.951 | 1.57 | 0.85 | 0.83 | NA | 0.98 | 0.97 | NA | + | 12 | 1273 | 3.94 | 0.01 |
Semi-natural environment | |||||||||||||||
Model | DTR | MinT | DTR*MinT | AgeStart | AgeStart*Age | DTR*Age | MinT*Age | Brood Size | Brood Size *DTR | Brood Size *Age | Aviary | df | AICc | ΔAICc | weight |
1 | 2.04 | 0.88 | 1.03 | 1.34 | NA | 0.50 | 1.05 | 1.15 | NA | NA | + | 11 | 1247 | 0.00 | 0.19 |
2 | 1.82 | 0.93 | 1.04 | 1.33 | NA | 0.56 | NA | 1.31 | NA | 0.91 | + | 11 | 1247 | 0.13 | 0.18 |
3 | 2.06 | 0.88 | 1.03 | 1.35 | NA | 0.49 | 1.05 | 1.31 | NA | 0.91 | + | 12 | 1247 | 0.21 | 0.17 |
4 | 1.76 | 0.93 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.22 | 0.58 | NA | 1.32 | NA | 0.90 | + | 12 | 1248 | 1.33 | 0.10 |
5 | 1.99 | 0.88 | 1.03 | 1.16 | 1.12 | 0.50 | 1.05 | 1.15 | NA | NA | + | 12 | 1249 | 1.70 | 0.08 |
6 | 1.99 | 0.88 | 1.04 | 1.09 | 1.18 | 0.51 | 1.05 | 1.32 | NA | 0.90 | + | 13 | 1249 | 1.70 | 0.08 |
7 | 1.79 | 0.93 | NA | 1.34 | NA | 0.55 | NA | 1.15 | 1.00 | NA | + | 10 | 1250 | 3.32 | 0.04 |
8 | 1.82 | 0.92 | NA | 1.35 | NA | 0.55 | NA | 1.30 | 0.99 | 0.91 | + | 11 | 1251 | 3.57 | 0.03 |
