Figure 1
From: Predicting future uncertainty constraints on global warming projections
Raw GCM projections of global mean temperature change.
(a) Decadal mean projections of ΔT with perfect data coverage are shown for each RCP for the 10–90% range of the Gaussian distributions of GCMs (°C; relative to the 1900–1919 mean). The filled and unfilled vertical bars show the corresponding 10–90% ranges of ΔT in the 2090 s with perfect data coverage and with past and sustained current coverage, respectively. (b) Blue crosses indicate decadal mean ΔT (°C) during the 1990 s–2090 s for all GCMs and RCPs with perfect data coverage (vertical axis) and with past and sustained current coverage (the horizontal axis). The black line is the one-to-one line and the red line is the regression line.
