Table 2 Variance Explained by Factors of HFMD Transmission in Hong Kong Using Different Ends of Study Period, 2010–14.
From: Transmission of Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease and Its Potential Driving Factors in Hong Kong
Driving factors | End by Jul | End by Aug | End by Sep | End by Oct | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model Aa | Model Bb | Model A | Model B | Model A | Model B | Model A | Model B | |
Depletion of susceptibles | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.16 |
Between-year effects | 0.19 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 0.05 |
Absolute humidity | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
Holidays | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Total R2 | 0.49 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.22 |
- aModel A refers to model without considering autocorrelation.
- bTo account for autocorrelation, Model B used the residuals of the effective reproduction number
, given by the 
.
, given by the 
