Table 2 Variation in the predicted potential average elevational range (±SD) of Macaronesian endemic bryophyte species per island (n = 19) between the present time and 2070 under the climate conditions defined by the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 concentration pathways.

From: Climate threat on the Macaronesian endemic bryophyte flora

Species

Present

RCP 4.5

RCP 8.5

Alophosia azorica

323 ± 142

453 ± 182**

639 ± 286*

Andoa berthelotiana

269 ± 99

400 ± 169*

483 ± 237**

Bazzania azorica

368 ± 178

567 ± 296*

603 ± 282*

Breutelia azorica

380 ± 165

546 ± 231**

651 ± 320*

Bryoxiphium madeirense

744 ± 698

2223 ± 1015

Extinct

Calypogeia azorica

350 ± 161

515 ± 220**

694 ± 327**

Cheilolejeunea cedercreutzii

573 ± 254

742 ± 340*

716 ± 436

Cololejeunea schaeferi

613 ± 402

1247 ± 210**

1364 ± 335

Cryptoleptodon longisetus

510 ± 366

1118 ± 380**

1322 ± 513**

Echinodium renauldii

263 ± 100

451 ± 183*

586 ± 242**

Echinodium setigerum

569 ± 213

1834 ± 1102

Extinct

Echinodium spimosum

612 ± 246

1143 ± 1531*

Extinct

Exsertotheca intermedia

255 ± 299

1363 ± 291**

Extinct

Fissidens coacervatus

502 ± 448

885 ± 431*

1355 ± 252***

Fissidens nobreganus

1190 ± 1069

1094

Extinct

Fissidens sublinaefolius

383 ± 355

992

Extinct

Frullania polysticta

474 ± 374

965 ± 466***

1454 ± 268**

Grimmia curviseta

1851 ± 157

2521 ± 557

Extinct

Hedenasiastrum percurrens

1224 ± 431

981

Extinct

Heteroscyphus denticulatus

436 ± 415

1193 ± 383**

2118 ± 1434

Isothecium prolixum

370 ± 156

578 ± 240*

689 ± 297**

Leptoscyphus azoricus

559 ± 247

723 ± 449

766 ± 421*

Leucodon canariensis

426 ± 399

1292 ± 227**

1493 ± 428

Leucodon treleasei

113 ± 50

203 ± 84**

766 ± 158***

Homalothecium mandonii

434 ± 356

709 ± 455**

970 ± 497*

Pelekium atlanticum

580 ± 462

1213 ± 186**

1291

Plagiochila madeirensis

577 ± 461

1242 ± 172**

1287

Porella inaequalis

731 ± 961

1062 ± 909

1482 ± 1514

Radula wichurae

262 ± 107

421 ± 175*

615 ± 274*

Rhynchostegiella bourgeana

367 ± 314

1002 ± 68***

1466 ± 112**

Rhynchostegiella macilenta

536 ± 431

987 ± 357**

1346 ± 297*

Rhynchostegiella trichophylla

524 ± 359

1222 ± 87***

1433 ± 86***

Riccia atlantica

29 ± 30

651

Extinct

Telaranea azorica

550 ± 248

747 ± 321**

796 ± 391*

Tortella limbata

537 ± 536

2254 ± 121

1480 ± 1254

  1. *, ** and *** indicate the significance of the average difference in elevation between the present time and 2070 at the 0.05, 0.01 and 0.001 significance levels, respectively.