Table 3 Transition probabilities and utilities used in the analysis.
 | Value | Lower limit | Higher limit |
---|---|---|---|
Probabilities | |||
ECX group | |||
 PPFS-PFS | 0.81 | 0.56 | 1.00 |
 PPFS-PD | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.16 |
 PPFS-death | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.09 |
 PPD-PD | 0.85 | 0.59 | 1.00 |
 PPD-death | 0.15 | 0.11 | 0.20 |
FOLFIRI group | |||
 PPFS-PFS | 0.82 | 0.57 | 1.00 |
 PPFS-PD | 0.11 | 0.08 | 0.15 |
 PPFS-death | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.09 |
 PPD-PD | 0.83 | 0.58 | 1.00 |
 PPD-death | 0.17 | 0.12 | 0.22 |
Utility | |||
 PFS state | 0.80 | 0.56 | 1.00 |
 PD state | 0.60 | 0.42 | 0.78 |
 Death state | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |