Table 2 Estimated minimum number of years that are needed for the SAI influence to become detectable in annual-mean global-mean SAT from deployment in 2020, using the TfNo method at the 10% level.
From: Detecting sulphate aerosol geoengineering with different methods
HadGEM2-ES (3) | CSIRO-Mk3L-1-2 (3) | CanESM2 (3) | BNU-ESM (1) | MIROC-ESM (1) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
HadGEM2-ES r1 | — | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
HadGEM2-ES r2 | — | 5 | 10 | 5 | 25 |
HadGEM2-ES r3 | — | 25 | 30 | 5 | 30+ |
CSIRO-Mk3L-1-2 r1 | 25 | — | 15 | 30+ | 25 |
CSIRO-Mk3L-1-2 r2 | 25 | — | 25 | 30+ | 25 |
CSIRO-Mk3L-1-2 r3 | 30+ | — | 30 | 30 | 30 |
CanESM2 r1 | 5 | 30+ | — | 30 | 20 |
CanESM2 r2 | 25 | 30+ | — | 20 | 25 |
CanESM2 r3 | 20 | 10 | — | 10 | 25 |
BNU-ESM r1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | — | 25 |
MIROC-ESM r1 | 30+ | 30+ | 30+ | 30+ | — |