Table 3 Risk of Cardiovascular Event Predicted by Model of Established Risk Factors and New Model* in the Diabetic Cohort from the Singapore Malay Eye Study.

From: Retinopathy Signs Improved Prediction and Reclassification of Cardiovascular Disease Risk in Diabetes: A prospective cohort study

 

+‘New’ Risk Category

Reclassified to Higher risk

Reclassified to Lower risk

NRI, %

P-value

Low

Intermediate

High

Total

Subjects with incident CVD event

*Established Risk Category

    

12

9

3.49

0.512

 Low

7

1

0

8

    

 Intermediate

2

10

11

23

    

 High

0

7

48

55

    

 Total

9

18

59

86

    

Subjects with no incident CVD event

*Established Risk Category

    

62

146

13.48

<0.001

 Low

179

26

5

210

    

 Intermediate

89

104

31

224

    

 High

1

56

132

189

    

 Total

269

186

168

623

    

 NRI, %

      

16.97

0.004

  1. +Established risk factors include age (years), gender (male, female), HbA1c, systolic blood pressure (mmHg), total cholesterol (mmol/L), HDL cholesterol (mmol/L), current smoking (yes, no), diabetic medication (yes, no) and duration of diabetes (years).
  2. *New risk factors include established risk factors, serum biomarkers (eGFR and hsCRP) and retinal microvascular parameters (retinal arteriolar caliber, retinal venular caliber, retinal vascular fractal dimension and presence of retinopathy).
  3. NRI: Net reclassification improvement.
  4. Risk Categories %.
  5. Low 0− < 6.35.
  6. Intermediate 6.35–13.2.
  7. High >13.2.