Table 3 Performance of the RuralDiab risk score and comparison with previously published risk scores for predicting T2DM in validation population.
Risk variables | AUC | Cutoff value | Number of risk,% | Sensitivity, % | Specificity, % | PPV, % | NPV, % | +LR | −LR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
the RuralDiab risk score | Sex, age, family history of diabetes, physical activity, waist circumference, BMI, history of dyslipidemia, DBP | 0.723 (0.710–0.735) in total | 17 | 1587 (34.1) | 67.9 (61.7–73.6) | 67.8 (66.4–69.2) | 10.6 | 97.4 | 2.11 | 0.47 |
0.711 (0.688–0.732) in men | 18 | 599 (36.5) | 70.2 (60.4–78.8) | 65.8 (63.3–68.1) | 12.2 | 97.0 | 2.05 | 0.45 | ||
0.726 (0.709–0.742) in women | 16 | 1088 (36.1) | 70.3 (62.2–77.6) | 65.6 (63.8–67.3) | 9.4 | 97.8 | 2.05 | 0.45 | ||
the New Chinese Diabetes Risk Score | Sex, age, family history of diabetes, waist circumference, BMI, systolic blood pressure | 0.708 (0.695–0.721) in total | 24 | 2046 (43.97) | 75.5 (69.7–80.7) | 57.8 (56.3–59.3) | 9.2 | 97.7 | 1.79 | 0.42 |
0.686 (0.663–0.709) in men | 24 | 753 (45.9) | 74.0 (64.5–82.1) | 56.0 (53.5–58.5) | 10.2 | 97.0 | 1.68 | 0.46 | ||
0.720 (0.704–0.736) in women | 24 | 1293 (42.9) | 76.6 (68.8–83.2) | 58.8 (56.9–60.6) | 8.6 | 98.0 | 1.86 | 0.40 | ||
the ADA score | Age, delivered a macrosomic (≥9 lb) infant, diabetes in parents or siblings, BMI | 0.636 (0.622–0.650)# in total | 5 | 1391 (29.9) | 49.8 (43.4–56.2) | 71.2 (69.9–72.6) | 8.9 | 96.2 | 1.73 | 0.70 |
0.628 (0.604–0.651)# in men | 5 | 390 (23.8) | 44.2 (34.5–54.3) | 77.6 (75.5–79.7) | 11.8 | 95.4 | 1.98 | 0.72 | ||
0.648 (0.630–0.665)# in women | 5 | 1001 (33.2) | 53.8 (45.3–62.1) | 67.8 (66.1–69.5) | 7.8 | 96.7 | 1.67 | 0.68 | ||
the Inter99 score | Sex, age, physical activity, history of diabetes in parent, hypertension, BMI | 0.669 (0.655–0.682)# in total | 23 | 1337 (28.7) | 53.0 (46.6–59.3) | 72.6 (71.3–74.0) | 9.9 | 96.5 | 1.94 | 0.65 |
0.618 (0.594–0.642)# in men | 23 | 506 (30.8) | 49.0 (39.1–59.0) | 70.4 (68.0–72.7) | 10.1 | 95.3 | 1.66 | 0.72 | ||
0.697 (0.680–0.713) in women | 18 | 1185 (39.3) | 69.7 (61.5–77.0) | 62.2 (60.4–64.0) | 8.5 | 97.6 | 1.84 | 0.49 | ||
the Thai risk score | Sex, age, diabetes history of parent or sibling, hypertension, BMI, waist circumference | 0.709 (0.695–0.722) in total | 6 | 2109 (45.3) | 75.5 (69.7–80.7) | 56.4 (54.9–57.9) | 8.9 | 97.6 | 1.73 | 0.43 |
0.696 (0.673–0.718) in men | 7 | 530 (32.3) | 61.5 (51.5–70.9) | 69.7 (67.3–72.0) | 12.1 | 96.4 | 2.03 | 0.55 | ||
0.713 (0.696–0.729) in women | 6 | 1342 (44.6) | 77.9 (70.3–84.4) | 57.1 (55.3–59.0) | 8.4 | 98.1 | 1.82 | 0.39 | ||
the Oman risk score | Age, family history of diabetes, waist circumference, BMI, hypertension | 0.675 (0.662–0.689)# in total | 10 | 1646 (35.4) | 61.4 (55.1–67.5) | 66.1 (64.7–67.5) | 9.3 | 96.8 | 1.81 | 0.58 |
0.659 (0.636–0.682)# in men | 7 | 692 (42.2) | 68.3 (58.4–77.0) | 59.6 (57.1–62.1) | 10.3 | 96.5 | 1.69 | 0.53 | ||
0.696 (0.679–0.712) in women | 10 | 1284 (42.6) | 72.4 (64.4–79.5) | 58.8 (56.9–60.6) | 8.2 | 97.7 | 1.76 | 0.47 |
