Table 1 Total area predicted to have probability of suitable habitat conditions for steppe habitat under climate change scenarios.

From: Geographical variation in morphology of Chaetosiphella stipae stipae Hille Ris Lambers, 1947 (Hemiptera: Aphididae: Chaitophorinae)

Scenario

Area (km2)

% change in area

Area common to current (km2) (stable)

% of area common to current

>10th percentile training presence threshold

Current

32 471 127

   

2050 s – RCP2.6

31 506 728

−3.0%

28 567 726

87.9%

2050 s – RCP4.5

31 248 402

−3.7%

27 616 076

85.0%

2050 s – RCP6.0

31 397 886

−3.3%

28 169 976

86.7%

2050 s – RCP8.5

30 896 024

−4.8%

26 609 548

81.9%

2070 s – RCP2.6

31 609 158

−2.6%

28 621 858

88.1%

2070 s – RCP4.5

30 986 949

−4.6%

26 830 320

82.6%

2070 s – RCP6.0

31 007 950

−4.6%

26 829 426

82.6%

2070 s – RCP8.5

30 293 509

−6.7%

24 556 589

75.6%

 

>50th percentile training presence threshold

Current

10 602 773

   

2050 s – RCP2.6

9 575 408

−9.7%

7 968 652

75.2%

2050 s – RCP4.5

9 700 688

−8.5%

8 055 047

86.0%

2050 s – RCP6.0

9 411 320

−11.3%

7 186 026

67.8%

2050 s – RCP8.5

9 199 519

−13.2%

6 711 345

63.3%

2070 s – RCP2.6

9 962 849

−6.0%

7 798 233

73.5%

2070 s – RCP4.5

9 386 385

−11.5%

6 773 825

63.9%

2070 s – RCP6.0

9 131 118

−13.9%

6 544 394

61.7%

2070 s – RCP8.5

8 278 156

−21.9%

4 884 476

46.1%

  1. The results are presented for the two thresholds.