Table 3 Association between risk factors and 30-day mortality risk: results of multivariable analyses.

From: Development and validation of a prognostic model for predicting 30-day mortality risk in medical patients in emergency department (ED)

Model

Unit

Hazard ratio (95% CI)

P-value

Model I

Gender

Man

1.61 (1.18–2.20)

0.003

Respiratory rate (breaths/min)

+5

1.24 (1.12–1.37)

<0.001

Peripheral oxygen saturation (%)

−5

1.17 (1.07–1.27)

<0.001

Duration of illness (days)

+5

0.67 (0.51–0.88)

0.004

Glasgow Coma Score

−1

1.19 (1.13–1.25)

<0.001

Admitted intensive care unit

Yes

5.57 (3.73–8.31)

<0.001

Serum urea (mmol/L)

+5

1.12 (1.05–1.20)

0.001

Glycaemia (mmol/L)

+5

1.19 (1.05–1.35)

0.005

Serum albumin (g/L)

−5

1.31 (1.18–1.47)

<0.001

ALT (U/L)

+20

1.02 (1.01–1.03)

<0.002

Model II

Gender

Man

1.53 (1.13–2.09)

0.007

Respiratory rate (breaths/min)

+5

1.25 (1.13–1.38)

<0.001

Peripheral oxygen saturation (%)

−5

1.17 (1.08–1.28)

<0.001

Duration of illness (days)

+5

0.67 (0.51–0.87)

0.003

Glasgow Coma Score

−1

1.18 (1.12–1.24)

<0.001

Admitted intensive care unit

Yes

6.59 (4.45–9.74)

<0.001

Serum urea (mmol/L)

+5

1.13 (1.06–1.20)

<0.001

Serum albumin (g/L)

−5

1.30 (1.17–1.45)

<0.001

Model III

Gender

Man

1.59 (1.17–2.18)

0.003

Respiratory rate (breaths/min)

+5

1.21 (1.09–1.34)

<0.001

Peripheral oxygen saturation (%)

−5

1.17 (1.07–1.27)

<0.001

Duration of illness (days)

+5

0.66 (0.50–0.87)

0.003

Glasgow Coma Score

−1

1.19 (1.13–1.25)

<0.001

Admitted intensive care unit

Yes

5.60 (3.77–8.31)

<0.001

Serum urea

+5

1.11 (1.04–1.19)

0.003

Glycaemia

+5

1.18 (1.04–1.33)

0.008

Serum albumin

−5

1.26 (1.12–1.42)

<0.001

ALT

+20

1.02 (1.01–1.03)

<0.001

hsCRP

+5

1.12 (1.01–1.24)

0.029

  1. ALT, alanine aminotransferase. hsCRP, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein.