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Showing 1–19 of 19 results
Advanced filters: Author: Radley M. Horton Clear advanced filters

  • A model that evaluates the likelihood of coastal inundation (flooding) and dynamical response (adaptation) as sea levels rise shows that, for the northeastern US, about 70% of the coast has some capacity to respond dynamically and alter inundation risk.

    • Erika E. Lentz
    • E. Robert Thieler
    • Dean B. Gesch
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 6, P: 696-700

  • Rising temperatures may alter the proportions of both heat- and cold-related deaths, leaving the net impact on annual mortality uncertain. Current and future seasonal patterns of temperature-related mortality in Manhattan, New York, are estimated, showing warm season increases and cold season decreases in temperature-related mortality, with positive net annual deaths in all cases.

    • Tiantian Li
    • Radley M. Horton
    • Patrick L. Kinney
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 3, P: 717-721

  • Simultaneous harvest failures across crop-producing regions are major threats to global food security. A strongly meandering jet can trigger these, however, climate and crop models underestimate effects with consequences for climate risk assessments.

    • Kai Kornhuber
    • Corey Lesk
    • Radley M. Horton
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 14, P: 1-10

  • With an ice-free Arctic, strong El Niño frequency increases 1/3 + . Almost half the increase by 2100 links to Arctic ice loss, not other greenhouse forcing. The Arctic’s influence on ENSO may represent a novel driver of changing climate extremes globally.

    • Jiping Liu
    • Mirong Song
    • Shang-Ping Xie
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 13, P: 1-10

  • The combination of hot and dry conditions reduces crop yields through heat and drought stresses. The heat sensitivity of crops depends on the local strength of couplings between temperature and moisture, but how future climate will impact the temperature–moisture couplings remains unknown. On the basis of historical patterns and a suite of climate models, this study projects that climate change will modify the couplings and probably worsen the impacts of warming on some of the world’s most important crops.

    • Corey Lesk
    • Ethan Coffel
    • Radley Horton
    Research
    Nature Food
    Volume: 2, P: 683-691

  • The coastal northeastern United States is a warming hotspot, and observations identify a slower Atlantic overturning circulation and a positive North Atlantic Oscillation phase as drivers. Analysis suggests that low horizontal resolution probably hampers models’ ability to capture the spatial pattern of enhanced warming.

    • Ambarish V. Karmalkar
    • Radley M. Horton
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 11, P: 854-860

  • Coastal flood risk is strongly influenced by sea-level rise and changes in tropical cyclone activity, but these factors are usually considered independently. Research now accounts for their joint contribution to coastal flood hazard for the US East Coast over the 21st century.

    • Christopher M. Little
    • Radley M. Horton
    • Gabriele Villarini
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 5, P: 1114-1120

  • Climate change and extreme weather events will influence migration patterns. However, it is important that our policies do not forget about those who are immobile to migration. This perspective explores different forms of involuntary immobility and how climate policy can address this.

    • Lisa Thalheimer
    • Fabien Cottier
    • Radley M. Horton
    ReviewsOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 16, P: 1-8

  • A large-scale meandering in the jet stream can cause simultaneous heat extremes in distant regions. When Rossby waves with wavenumbers 5 and 7 dominate circulation, there is an increased risk of heat extremes across major food-producing regions, raising the potential of multiple crop failures.

    • Kai Kornhuber
    • Dim Coumou
    • Radley M. Horton
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 10, P: 48-53

  • Short-term extreme weather events such as hourly heat can negatively impact crop yields. US maize and soy yields are damaged by rare extreme hourly downpours, but benefit from more common heavy rainfall, indicating yields may benefit from increasing precipitation intensity under climate change.

    • Corey Lesk
    • Ethan Coffel
    • Radley Horton
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 10, P: 819-822

  • Extreme heat is increasing in magnitude and frequency, threatening human health. This Review assesses mortality risk associated with extreme heat, revealing that human thermal tolerances (that is, uncompensable thresholds) were crossed for ~2% and 21% of global land area for young adults and older adults, respectively, from 1994 to 2023.

    • Tom Matthews
    • Colin Raymond
    • Radley M. Horton
    Reviews
    Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
    Volume: 6, P: 193-210

  • The impacts of extreme weather and climate can be amplified by physical interactions among events and across a complex set of societal factors. This Perspective discusses the concept and challenge of connected extreme events, exploring research approaches and decision-making strategies.

    • Colin Raymond
    • Radley M. Horton
    • Kathleen White
    Reviews
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 10, P: 611-621

  • Research on compound events has increased vastly in the last several years, yet, a typology was absent. This Review proposes a comprehensive classification scheme, incorporating compound events that are preconditioned, multivariate, temporally compounding and spatially compounding events.

    • Jakob Zscheischler
    • Olivia Martius
    • Edoardo Vignotto
    Reviews
    Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
    Volume: 1, P: 333-347