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Showing 1–2 of 2 results
Advanced filters: Author: Stefano Miccoli Clear advanced filters

  • Releasing COVID-19 lockdown measures risks increases in transmission. Here, the authors estimate the increase in transmission rate for different regions in Italy and estimate that isolation of 5.5% exposed and highly infectious individuals would be needed to compensate for a 40% increase in transmission.

    • Enrico Bertuzzo
    • Lorenzo Mari
    • Andrea Rinaldo
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 11, P: 1-11

  • Several prognostic indices are available to predict the long-term fate of emerging infectious diseases and the effect of their containment measures, including a variety of reproduction numbers. Here, the authors introduce the epidemicity index, a complementary index to evaluate the potential for transient increases of SARS-Cov-2 epidemics.

    • Lorenzo Mari
    • Renato Casagrandi
    • Marino Gatto
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 12, P: 1-12