Fig. 4: Among fossil fuel workers expected to transition to green jobs, only a small share will relocate.
From: Location is a major barrier for transferring US fossil fuel employment to green jobs
A A heat map detailing skill similarity and geospatial distance in expected fossil fuel worker transitions to green jobs. Transitions are concentrated around small distances towards the left of the plot. B Three examples of the spatial dispersion of fossil fuel workers from extraction to green jobs. The spatial range of dispersion is small in each case. Maps were made using the sf package in R (Pebesma E (2018). “Simple Features for R: Standardized Support for Spatial Vector Data.” The R Journal, 10(1), 439-446. -CC-BY Attribution 4.0). C The predicted proportion of fossil worker transitions to different existing sectors and green jobs. For existing sectors, we consider three sectors with the highest and lowest skill similarities with fossil-fuel extraction workers respectively (SI Section 3). For green jobs, in addition to the baseline prediction, we consider potential policy interventions to promote green job growth (e.g., the Biden Administration’s Inflation Reduction Act). We explore scenarios of 1, 5, and 10 million new green jobs distributed either proportionally to 2019 fossil fuel worker employment (Non-Targeted) or proportional to regions' total employment (Geo-Targeted).
