Fig. 1: Changes in ENSO impacts on global SST.
From: Stronger ENSO-induced global SST variability in a warming climate
The maximum explainable variance between sea surface temperature (SST) and December(0)–February(1) (D(0)JF(1)) Niño3.4 SST anomaly from June–August(0) (JJA(0)) to JJA(1) during a Present-day (PD), b 2085–2115 (2100) in CESM1. c The change in maximum R2 from the PD to 2100. Stippling in c indicates regions that are statistically significant at the 95% confidence level using the bootstrap test. d–f Same as a–c but CMIP6 multi-model ensemble mean (MME) results for pre-industrial, 1pctCO2 scenario and their difference, respectively. Stippled areas indicate regions where more than 80% of the models agree with the sign of the MME result. The boxes in c and f delineate the equatorial Pacific (10°S–10°N, 150°E–80°W), which is masked out to capture only the impacts on remote SST.
