Table 3 Diagnostic test statistics evaluating the validity of improvement at 4 h after the first ketamine infusion and 24 h after the first five ketamine infusions (vs. two or three consecutive non-improvements) in predicting partial response at 24 h after the sixth ketamine infusion.

From: Non-improvement predicts subsequent non-response to repeated-dose intravenous ketamine for depression: a re-analysis of a 2-week open-label study in patients with unipolar and bipolar depression

 

Non-partial responder (N = 26)

Partial responder (N = 91)

Sensitivity

Specificity

Positive predictive value

Negative predictive value

Youden index

AUC

Two consecutive non-improvements

 4h & 24h post-infusion 1a

  

0.697

0.769

0.912

0.426

0.466

0.733

  Non-Improver

20 (76.9%)

27 (30.3%)

      

  Improver

6 (23.1%)

62 (69.7%)

      

24h post-infusion 1 & 2a

  

0.798

0.808

0.934

0.538

0.605

0.803

  Non-Improver

21 (80.8%)

18 (20.2%)

      

  Improver

5 (19.2%)

71 (79.8%)

      

24h post-infusion 2 & 3b

  

0.889

0.577

0.879

0.6

0.466

0.733

  Non-Improver

15 (57.7%)

10 (11.1%)

      

  Improver

11 (42.3%)

80 (88.9%)

      

24h post-infusion 3 & 4

  

0.967

0.423

0.854

0.786

0.390

0.695

  Non-Improver

11 (42.3%)

3 (3.3%)

      

  Improver

15 (57.7%)

88 (96.7%)

      

24h post-infusion 4 & 5

  

1

0.462

0.867

1

0.462

0.731

  Non-Improver

12 (46.2%)

0 (0.0%)

      

  Improver

14 (53.8%)

91 (100%)

      

Three consecutive non-improvements

4h post-infusion 1 and 24h post-infusion 1 & 2c

  

0.841

0.731

0.914

0.576

0.572

0.816

  Non-Improver

19 (73.1%)

14 (15.9%)

      

  Improver

7 (26.9%)

74 (84.1%)

      

24h post-infusion 1 & 2 & 3a

  

0.921

0.577

0.882

0.682

0.498

0.843

  Non-improver

15 (57.7%)

7 (7.9%)

      

  Improver

11 (42.3%)

82 (92.1%)

      

24h post-infusion 2 & 3 & 4b

  

0.978

0.423

0.854

0.846

0.401

0.853

  Non-improver

11 (43.2%)

2 (2.2%)

      

  Improver

15 (56.8%)

88 (97.8%)

      

24h post-infusion 3 & 4 & 5

  

1.000

0.385

0.850

1.000

0.385

0.863

  Non-improver

10 (38.5%)

0 (0%)

      

  Improver

16 (61.5%)

91 (100%)

      
  1. AUC area under the curve.
  2. aData missing for two participants in the partial responder group.
  3. bData missing for one participant in the partial responder group.
  4. cData missing for three participants in the partial responder group.