Fig. 5: Comparison between model-predicted and observed infant RSV hospitalisations by birth month.

The top three figures show the linear regression analysis (means and 95% confidence intervals) and Pearson’s correlation coefficients between the model-predicted and observed results across different study sites stratified by country income level; points in purple indicated a selected site with the highest number of RSV hospitalisations in the first year of life for demonstration, with the corresponding bottom figure showing the comparison between model-predicted (in red, medians and 95% prediction intervals) and observed (in blue) values. HICs High-income countries, UMICs Upper-middle-income countries, LMICs Lower-middle-income countries, LICs Low-income countries. Source data are provided as a Source Data file.