Fig. 5: Projected future changes in the PDT-DFS.

a–d Trends in the PDT-DFS for 1982–2100 under the SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios. The horizontal axis label of End Year represents the last year of the 15-year sliding window. The each shaded area in (a–d) of the trends represent the mean velues ± 0.5 SD of five global climate models. 10th–40th in (a–d) represent DFS for the <10% quantile to the <40% quantile, respectively. Source data are provided as a Source Data file.