Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic prompted widespread school closures and a swift transition to distance learning, raising concerns about consequences for student success. This study explores academic outcomes in STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics) courses during COVID-induced distance learning using student-course records at an U.S. public university. We particularly focus on students from underserved populations and who have below average academic outcomes. Employing an expected shortfall regression strategy, we examine outcomes in the bottom quintile and compare differences between students whose household income were in the lowest bracket or without a parent holding a four-year college degree and peers for whom this was not the case, in distance and in-person learning. We show that during distance learning, students in disadvantaged populations in the lowest quintile had average grade differences of 0.11 and 0.06 points, respectively. We also find that targeted instructional changes in an introductory physics course were associated with narrower achievement gaps. These results suggest that while distance learning posed challenges for underserved students, deliberate strategies to increase interaction may potentially support greater equity in STEM education.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability
Currently, the LARC Data Set is available to University of Michigan (U-M) investigators who have obtained Institutional Review Board (IRB) approval and signed a memorandum of understanding describing their research interests. Investigators not affiliated with the University of Michigan must adhere to the established data request protocols of the University of Michigan to gain access to data. Investigators should contact student.data.request@umich.edu to request access to data. The expected time-frame for response to access requests depends on the the scope of the request. For accepted data requests, the timeline for data availability will be outlined in the data user agreement. More information about accessing the data can be found here: https://enrollment.umich.edu/data/learning-analytics-data-architecture-larc. Cleaned data are available from the authors upon university approval for LARC data. Individuals interested in obtaining this data should follow above steps to obtain approval from the University of Michigan. Source data are provided with this paper.
Code availability
Code to perform the expected shortfall regression method is available in the Supplementary Code.
References
United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization. Education: From disruption to recovery. https://www.unesco.org/en/covid-19/education-response (2020).
National Center for Educational Statistics. 2019-20 National postsecondary student aid study (NPSAS:20): First look at the impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on undergraduate student enrollment, housing, and finances (preliminary data). Tech. Rep., U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences (2021).
National Center for Education Statistics. Undergraduate Enrollment. Condition of Education. Tech. Rep., U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences (2023).
Daymont, T., Blau, G. & Campbell, D. Deciding between traditional and online formats: Exploring the role of learning advantages, flexibility, and compensatory adaptation. J. Behav. Appl. Manag. 12, 156 (2011).
Broadbent, J. & Poon, W. L. Self-regulated learning strategies & academic achievement in online higher education learning environments: A systematic review. Internet High. Educ. 27, 1–13 (2015).
Picciano, A. G. Beyond student perceptions: Issues of interaction, presence, and performance in an online course. J. Asynchronous Learn. Netw. 6, 21–40 (2002).
Jimenez, L. Student assessment during COVID-19 (Center for American Progress, 2020).
Cahalan, M. et al. Indicators of Higher Education Equity in the United States: 2022 Historical Trend Report. Tech. Rep., The Pell Institute for the Study of Opportunity in Higher Education, Council for Opportunity in Education (COE), and Alliance for Higher Education and Democracy of the University of Pennsylvania (PennAHEAD), Washington, DC (2022).
Engle, J. & Tinto, V. Moving beyond access: College success for low-income, first-generation students. Tech. Rep., The Pell Institute for the Study of Opportunity in Higher Education (2008).
Berkner, L. & Chavez, L. Access to postsecondary education for 1992 high school graduates. Tech. Rep., National Center for Education Statistics, Washington, DC (1997).
Chen, X. First-generation students in postsecondary education: A look at their college transcripts. Tech. Rep., National Center for Education Statistics, Washington, DC (2005).
Choy, S. Low-income students: Who they are and how they pay for their education. Tech. Rep., National Center for Education Statistics, Washington, DC (2000).
Choy, S. Students whose parents did not go to college: Postsecondary access, persistence, and attainment. Tech. Rep., National Center for Education Statistics, Washington, DC (2001).
Horn, L. & Nunez, A. Mapping the road to college: First-generation students’ math track, planning strategies, and context of support. Tech. Rep., National Center for Education Statistics, Washington, DC (2000).
Nunez, A. & Cuccaro-Alamin, S. First-generation students: Undergraduates whose parents never enrolled in postsecondary education. Tech. Rep., National Center for Education Statistics, Washington, DC (1998).
Warburton, E., Bugarin, R. & Nunez, A. Bridging the gap: Academic preparation and postsecondary success of first-generation students. Tech. Rep., National Center for Education Statistics,Washington, DC (2001).
Astin, A. What matters in college: four critical years revisited (Jossey-Bass, San Francisco, 1997).
Cabrera, A., Nora, A. & Castaneda, M. The role of finances in the persistence process: A structural model. Res. High. Educ. 33, 571–593 (1992).
Billson, J. & Terry, M. In search of the silken purse: Factors in attrition among first-generation students. College and University 58, 57–75 (1982).
Lohfink, M. & Paulsen, M. Comparing the determinants of persistence for first-generation and continuing-generation students. J. Coll. Stud. Dev. 46, 409–428 (2005).
Pascarella, E. T., Pierson, C. T., Wolniak, G. C. & Terenzini, P. T. Experiences and outcomes of first-generation students in community colleges. J. Coll. Stud. Dev. 44, 420–429 (2003).
Pascarella, E. T., Pierson, C. T., Wolniak, G. C. & Terenzini, P. T. First-generation college students: Additional evidence on college experiences and outcomes. J. High. Educ. 75, 249–284 (2004).
Pike, G. R. & Kuh, G. D. First- and second-generation college students: A comparison of their engagement and intellectual development. J. High. Educ. 76, 276–300 (2005).
Richardson, R. C. & Skinner, E. F. Helping first generation minority students achieve degrees. In Zwerling, L. S. & London, H. B. (eds.) First Generation College Students: Confronting the Cultural Issues (Jossey-Bass Publishers, San Francisco, CA, 1992).
Terenzini, P. T., Springer, L., Yaeger, P. M., Pascarella, E. T. & Nora, A. First generation college students: Characteristics, experiences, and cognitive development. Res. High. Educ. 37, 1–22 (1996).
Terenzini, P. T., Cabrera, A. F. & Bernal, E. M. Swimming Against the Tide: The Poor in American Higher Education (College Board, New York, 2001).
Means, B. & Neisler, J. Unmasking inequality: STEM course experience during the COVID-19 pandemic. Digital Promise (2020).
Means, B. & Neisler, J. Suddenly online: A national survey of undergraduates during the COVID-19 pandemic. Digital Promise (2020).
Barber, P. H. et al. Disparities in remote learning faced by first-generation and underrepresented minority students during COVID-19: Insights and opportunities from a remote research experience. J. Microbiol. Biol. Educ. 22, (2021).
Goudeau, S., Sanrey, C., Stanczak, A., Manstead, A. & Darnon, C. Why lockdown and distance learning during the COVID-19 pandemic are likely to increase the social class achievement gap. Nat. Hum. Behav. 5, 1273–1281 (2021).
Deslauriers, L., Harris, S., Lane, E. & Wieman, C. Transforming the lowest-performing students: an intervention that worked. J. Coll. Sci. Teach. 41, 80–88 (2012).
Freeman, S. et al. Prescribed active learning increases performance in introductory biology. CBE Life Sci. Educ. 6, 132–139 (2007).
Jensen, P. A. & Moore, R. Students’ behaviors, grades and perceptions in an introductory biology course. Am. Biol. Teach. 70, 483–487 (2008).
Jensen, P. A. & Moore, R. What do help sessions accomplish in introductory science courses? J. Coll. Sci. Teach. 38, 60–64 (2009).
Moore, R. Who does extra-credit work in introductory science courses? J. Coll. Sci. Teach. 34, 12–15 (2005).
Bowman, N. A. & Jang, N. What is the purpose of academic probation? Its substantial negative effects on four-year graduation. Res. High. Educ. 63, 1285–1311 (2022).
Cahalan, M., Perna, L. W., Yamashita, M., Wright, J. & Santillan, S. 2018 Indicators of higher education equity in the United States: Historical trend report. Tech. Rep., The Pell Institute for the Study of Opportunity in Higher Education, Council for Opportunity in Education (COE), and Alliance for Higher Education and Democracy of the University of Pennsylvania (2018).
Palmer, T. L. & Palmer, S. A. A comparison of online and traditional chemistry lecture and lab. Chem. Educ. Res. Pract. 3, 47–52 (2002).
Means, B., Toyama, Y., Murphy, R., Bakia, M. & Jones, K. Evaluation of evidence-based practices in online learning: A meta-analysis and review of online learning studies. Tech. Rep., US Department of Education (2009).
Chirikov, I., Semenova, T., Maloshonok, N., Bettinger, E. & Kizilcec, R. F. Online education platforms scale college stem instruction with equivalent learning outcomes at lower cost. Sci. Adv. 6, eaay5324 (2020).
Jaggars, S. & Bailey, T. Effectiveness of fully online courses for college students: Response to a Department of Education meta-analysis (2010).
Figlio, D., Rush, M. & Yun, L. Is it live or is it internet? Experimental estimates of the effects of online instruction on student learning. J. Labor Econ. 31, 763–784 (2013).
Broderick, J. R. & Neufeldt, E. J. John R. Broderick and Ellen J. Neufeldt Column: Filling high-tech jobs requires paradigm shift in higher ed. Richmond Times-Dispatchrichmond.com/opinion/columnists/john-r-broderick-and-ellen-j-neufeldt-column-filling-high-tech-jobs-requires-paradigm-shift/article_41bb67aa-8ca6-522d-85c7-b9f4f15b56f6.html.
Bush, V. Science, the endless frontier: A report the president on a program for a postwar scientific research (United States Government Printing Office, Washington, DC).
Melguizo, T. & Wolniak, G. C. The earnings benefits of majoring in stem fields among high achieving minority students. Res. High. Educ. 53, 383–405 (2012).
Xu, Y. J. Career outcomes of stem and non-stem college graduates: Persistence in majored-field and influential factors in career choices. Res. High. Educ. 54, 349–382 (2013).
National Science Foundation, National Science Board. Revisiting the STEM Workforce: A Companion to Science and Engineering Indicators 2014. NSB-2015-10. Tech. Rep. (2015).
Carnevale, A. P., Smith, N. & Melton, M. STEM: Science Technology Engineering Mathematics (2011).
Chen, X. STEM attrition among high-performing college students: scope and potential causes. J. Technol. Sci. Educ. 5, 41–59 (2015).
Olson, S. & Riordan, D. G. Engage to excel: producing one million additional college graduates with degrees in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics. Report to the President. (Executive Office of the President, Washington, DC, 2012).
Morganson, V. J., Major, D. A., Streets, V. N., Litano, M. L. & Myers, D. P. Using embeddedness theory to understand and promote persistence in STEM majors. Career Dev. Q. 63, 348–362 (2015).
Provencher, A. & Kassel, R. High-impact practices and sophomore retention: Examining the effects of selection bias. J. Coll. Stud. Retent.: Res., Theory Pract. 21, 221–241 (2019).
Chen, X. STEM attrition: College students’ paths into and out of STEM fields. Statistical Analysis Report. NCES 2014-001. Tech. Rep., Washington, DC (2013).
Crisp, G., Nora, A. & Taggart, A. Student characteristics, pre-college, college and environmental factors as predictors of majoring in and earning a STEM degree: An analysis of students attending a Hispanic serving institution. Am. Educ. Res. J. 46, 924–942 (2009).
Whalen, D. F. & Shelley, M. C. I. Academic success for STEM and non-STEM majors. Jounral STEM Educ. 11, 45–60 (2010).
Dika, S. L. & M, D. M. Early experiences and integration in the persistence of first-generation college students in STEM and non-STEM majors. J. Res. Sci. Teach. 53, 368–383 (2016).
Xu, Y. J. Career outcomes of STEM and non-STEM college graduates: Persistence in majored-field and influential factors in career choices. Res. High. Educ. 54, 349–382 (2013).
Skliarova, I., Meireles, I., Martins, N., Tchemisova, T. & Cacao, I. Enriching traditional higher STEM education with online teaching and learning practices: Student’s perspective. Educ. Sci. 12, (2022).
Dickson-Karn, N. M. Student feedback on distance learning in the quantitative chemical analysis laboratory. J. Chem. Educ. 97, 2955–2959 (2020).
Franchi, T. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on current anatomy education and future careers: A student’s perspective. Anat. Sci. Educ. 13, 312–315 (2020).
Perets, E. A. et al. Impact of the emergency transition to remote teaching on student engagement in a non-STEM undergraduate chemistry course in the time of COVID-19. J. Chem. Educ. 97, 2439–2447 (2020).
Petillion, R. J. & McNeil, W. S. Student experiences of emergency remote teaching: Impacts of instructor practice on student learning, engagement, and well-being. J. Chem. Educ. 97, 2486–2493 (2020).
Wester, E. R., Walsh, L. L., Arango-Caro, S. & Callis-Duehl, K. L. Student engagement declines in STEM undergraduates during COVID-19 driven remote learning. J. Microbiol. Biol. Educ. 22, (2021).
Arcila Hernández, L. M., Zamudio, K. R., Drake, A. G. & Smith, M. K. Implementing team-based learning in the life sciences: A case study in an online introductory level evolution and biodiversity course. Ecol. Evol. 11, 3527–2536 (2021).
Orlov, G. et al. Learning during the COVID-19 pandemic: It is not who you teach, but how you teach. Econ. Lett. 202, (2021).
Mok, K., Xiong, W. & Bin Aedy Rahman, H. COVID-19 pandemic’s disruption on university teaching and learning and competence cultivation: Student evaluation of online learning experiences in Hong Kong. Int. J. Chinese Educ. 10, (2021).
Parolin, Z. & Lee, E. Large socio-economic, geographic and demographic disparities exist in exposure to school closures. Nat. Hum. Behav. 5, 522–528 (2021).
Al-Mahrouqi, T. et al. The differential mediating roles of resilience in the relationship between meaningful living and stress among college students during the COVID-19 pandemic. Sci. Rep. 13, (2023).
Angrist, N., Bergman, P. & Matsheng, M. Experimental evidence on learning using low-tech when school is out. Nat. Hum. Behav. 6, 941–950 (2022).
Armstrong-Mensah, E., Ramsey-White, K., Yankey, B. & Self-Brown, S. COVID-19 and distance learning: Effects on Georgia State University School of Public Health students. Front. Public Health8, (2020).
Goldhaber, D. et al. The educational consequences of remote and hybrid instruction during the pandemic. Am. Econ. Rev.: Insights 5, 377–392 (2023).
Lichand, G., Doria, C., Leal-Neto, O. & Fernandes, J. The impacts of remote learning in secondary education during the pandemic in Brazil. Nat. Hum. Behav. 6, 1076–1086 (2022).
Supriya, K. et al. Undergraduate biology students received higher grades during COVID-19 but perceived negative effects on learning. Sec. Educ. Psychol. 6, (2021).
Kofoed, M., Gebhart, L., Gilmore, D. & Moschitto, R. Zooming to class? Experimental evidence on college students online learning during COVID-19. IZA Discussion Paper (2021).
Rodriguez-Planas, N.COVID-19, college educational outcomes, and the flexible grading policy: A longitudinal analysis. J. Public Econ. 207, (2022).
Zuckerman, A. L., Hardesty, R. A., Denaro, K., Lo, S. M. & Owens, M. T. Effects of remote teaching in a crisis on equity gaps and the constructivist learning environment in an introductory biology course series. J. Microbiol. Biol. Educ. 22, (2021).
Bird, K., Castleman, B. & Lohner, G. Negative impacts from the shift to online learning through the COVID-19 crisis: Evidence from a statewide community college system. AERA Open8, (2022).
Bulman, G. & Fairlie, R. The impact of COVID-19 on community college enrollment and student success: Evidence from California administrative data. Educ. Financ. Policy 17, 745–764 (2022).
Chen, P. et al. Real-world effectiveness of a social-psychological intervention translated from controlled trials to classrooms. npj Sci. Learn. 7, (2022).
Matz, R. et al. Analyzing the efficacy of ECoach in supporting gateway course success through tailored support (2021). Paper presented at LAK21: 11th International Learning Analytics and Knowledge Conference, Irvine, CA, USA, April 2021.
TRESTLE. Trestle home page (2017). https://trestlenetwork.ku.edu/.
Ballen, C. J., Wieman, C., Salehi, S., Searle, J. B. & Zamudio, K. R. Enhancing diversity in undergraduate science: Self-efficacy drives performance gains with active learning. CBE Life Sci. Educ. 16, 1–6 (2017).
Donovon, D. A., Connell, G. L. & Grunspan, D. Z. Student learning outcomes and attitudes using three methods of group formation in a nonmajors biology class. CBE Life Sci. Educ. 17, 1–14 (2018).
Kim, K. J., Liu, S. & Bonk, C. J. Online MBA students’ perceptions of online learning: Benefits, challenges, and suggestions. Internet High. Educ. 8, 335–344 (2005).
Michaelsen, L. K. & Sweet, M.The essential elements of team-based learning. New Directions for Teaching and Learning (2008).
Chasteen, S. V. & Code, W. J.The Science Education Initiative Handbook (2018). https://pressbooks.bccampus.ca/seihandbook/.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
National Center for Education Statistics. IPEDS Data Feedback Report 2021: University of Michigan-Ann Arbor. Tech. Rep., National Center for Education Statistics, Washington, DC (2021).
National Center for Education Statistics. IPEDS Data Feedback Report 2022: University of Michigan-Ann Arbor. Tech. Rep., National Center for Education Statistics, Washington, DC (2022).
Pew Research Center. A rising share of undergraduates are from poor families, especially at selective colleges (2019).
Office of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration. 84 FR 1167 - Annual Update of the HHS Poverty Guidelines [Government] (2019).
RTI International. First-generation college students: Demographic characteristics and postsecondary enrollment (2019).
Caruth, G. D. & Caruth, D. L. The impact of distance education on higher education: A case study of the United States. Turkish Online J. Distance Educ. 14, 121–131 (2013).
Kentnor, H. E. Distance education and the evolution of online learning in the United States. Curric. Teach. dialogue 17, 21–34 (2015).
Seaman, J. E., Allen, I. E. & Seaman, J. Grade increase: Tracking distance education in the United States (2018).
El-Deghaidy, H., Mansour, N., Alzaghibi, M. & Alhammad, K. Context of STEM integration in schools: Views from in-service science teachers. J. Math., Sci. Technol. Educ. 13, 2459–2484 (2017).
Brancaccio-Taras, L., Mawn, M. V., Premo, J. & Ramachandran, R. Teaching in a time of crisis: Editorial perspectives on adjusting STEM education to the “new normal” during the COVID-19 pandemic. J. Microbiol.Biol. Educ. 22 (2021).
Alangari, T. S. Online STEM education during COVID-19 period: A systematic review of perceptions in higher education. EURASIA J. Math., Sci. Technol. Educ. 18, (2022).
Fischer, C., Baker, R., Li, Q., Orona, G. & Warschauer, M. Increasing success in higher education: The relationships of online course taking with college completion and time-to-degree. Educ. Evaluation Policy Anal. 44, 355–379 (2022).
Bettinger, E. P., Fox, L., Loeb, S. & Taylor, E. S. Virtual classrooms: How online college courses affect student success. Am. Economic Rev. 107, 2855–2875 (2017).
Xu, D. & Jaggars, S. Performance gaps between online and face-to-face courses: Differences across types of students and academic subject areas. J. High. Educ. 85, 633–659 (2014).
Bartley, S. J. & Golek, J. H. Evaluating the cost effectiveness of online and face-to-face instruction. J. Educ. Technol. Soc. 7, 167–175 (2004).
Watson, J. & Gemin, B. Using online learning for at-risk students and credit recovery. Promising practices in online learning (2008).
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, Washington, DC. DHS STEM Designated Degree Program List (2023).
Koenker, R. & Bassett, G. Regression quantiles. Econometrica 46, 33–50 (1978).
Barendse, S. Efficiently weighted estimation of tail and interquantile expectations (2020). https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2937665.
He, X., Tan, K. M. & Zhou, W.-X. Robust estimation and inference for expected shortfall regression with many regressors. J. R. Stat. Soc.: Ser. B (Stat. Methodol.) 85, 1223–1246 (2023).
Acknowledgements
Research in this publication is partially supported by National Science Foundation (NSF) CAREER DMS-2238428 (K.M.T.). The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Science Foundation. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish or preparation of the manuscript.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
Authors R.M., J.L., and K.M.T. contributed equally to the work.
Corresponding authors
Ethics declarations
Competing interests
All authors are employees or affiliates of the University of Michigan. R.M. was an employee of University of Michigan at the time of the study and is currently a full-time employee of AbbVie. The data and financial support for this research were provided by the University of Michigan.
Peer review
Peer review information
Nature Communications thanks the anonymous reviewer(s) for their contribution to the peer review of this work. A peer review file is available.
Additional information
Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Source data
Rights and permissions
Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License, which permits any non-commercial use, sharing, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if you modified the licensed material. You do not have permission under this licence to share adapted material derived from this article or parts of it. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
About this article
Cite this article
Man, R., Li, J. & Tan, K.M. Educational disparities in STEM during COVID-induced distance learning and a potential strategy to address them. Nat Commun (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-69925-9
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-69925-9


