Extended Data Fig. 7: Posterior distributions of non-bombardment thermochronologic model parameters for a simulated asteroid with a single bombardment flux.
From: An early giant planet instability recorded in asteroidal meteorites
Each histogram reflects 106 steps of post-burn-in MCMC simulation. Panels as in Extended Data Fig. 3. Dashed lines demarcate prior distributions of each corresponding parameter. Posterior distributions of bulk density (c), initial 26Al/27Al (d), asteroid radius (e), and specific heat capacity (f) agree well with their priors, while all other parameters appear inconsistent with their respective priors. Extended Data Table 1 reports summary statistics. Extended Data Fig. 4 depicts bombardment parameter posteriors.
