Extended Data Fig. 2: Full win probability model.
From: Long-term, multi-event surprise correlates with enhanced autobiographical memory

(a, b) We plotted win probability by expected home minus away score difference and game time remaining when the home (a) and away (b) teams had possession of the ball. To illustrate the importance of team possession, we also plotted the contrast of home possession minus away possession (c). All graphs show data only from the 4th quarter of games.