Table 6 Area under the ROC curves, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and Brier score of parenclitic indices and principal components in combination with the SOFA score compared with the SOFA score alone.
Variables | AUC | p-value | Cut-Off | Sensitivity | Specificity | % AUC increase | PPV | NPV | Brier score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SOFA | 0.617 | < 0.001 | 6.5 | 0.683 | 0.56 | – | 0.497 | 0.735 | 0.1294 |
δ-pH/Carbonate + SOFA | 0.658 | < 0.001 | 0.725 | 0.606 | 0.614 | 6.65 | 0.5 | 0.71 | 0.1268 |
δ-pH/Creatinine +SOFA | 0.633 | < 0.001 | 0.695 | 0.601 | 0.592 | 2.59 | 0.484 | 0.7 | 0.1276 |
δ-Lactate/HR + SOFA | 0.646 | < 0.001 | 0.4954 | 0.657 | 0.626 | 4.7 | 0.528 | 0.741 | 0.1231 |
δ-Lactate/Glu + SOFA | 0.652 | < 0.001 | 0.4902 | 0.684 | 0.641 | 5.67 | 0.548 | 0.761 | 0.1232 |
δ-SpO2/RespR + SOFA | 0.654 | < 0.001 | 0.6461 | 0.623 | 0.619 | 6 | 0.51 | 0.721 | 0.1226 |
PC-1 + SOFA | 0.754 | < 0.001 | 0.6422 | 0.715 | 0.714 | 22.2 | 0.614 | 0.797 | 0.1428 |
PC-3 + SOFA | 0.712 | < 0.001 | 0.5692 | 0.692 | 0.667 | 15.4 | 0.57 | 0.773 | 0.1344 |