Table 3 Weighted odds ratios in the prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus, stratified by central adiposity groups before and during COVID–19 (weighted % [95% CI]).
Variables | Overall (2005–2022) | Before the pandemic (2005–2019) | During the pandemic (2020–2022) | Ratio of ORs (95% CI) during the pandemic compared to before the pandemic (reference) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weighted OR (95% CI) | P-value | Weighted OR (95% CI) | P-value | Weighted OR (95% CI) | P-value | Weighted ratio of OR (95% CI) | P-value | ||
Healthy central adipositya | |||||||||
Sex | Female | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Male | 2.19 (1.96 to 2.44) | < 0.001 | 2.31 (2.05 to 2.62) | < 0.001 | 1.87 (1.46 to 2.40) | < 0.001 | 0.81 (0.61 to 1.07) | 0.134 | |
Age, years | 30–39 | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
40–49 | 4.00 (3.01 to 5.32) | < 0.001 | 4.00 (2.98 to 5.35) | < 0.001 | 4.31 (1.39 to 13.35) | 0.012 | 1.08 (0.34 to 3.47) | 0.900 | |
50–59 | 9.51 (7.23 to 12.52) | < 0.001 | 8.45 (6.36 to 11.23) | < 0.001 | 18.63 (6.33 to 54.83) | < 0.001 | 2.20 (0.72 to 6.73) | 0.166 | |
≥60 | 17.72 (13.63 to 23.05) | < 0.001 | 16.05 (12.27 to 21.00) | < 0.001 | 31.79 (10.94 to 92.37) | < 0.001 | 1.98 (0.66 to 5.95) | 0.223 | |
Region of residence | Urban | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Rural | 1.53 (1.34 to 1.75) | < 0.001 | 1.43 (1.23 to 1.67) | < 0.001 | 2.11 (1.57 to 2.84) | < 0.001 | 1.47 (1.06 to 2.05) | 0.022 | |
BMI groupb | Underweight or normal weight | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Overweight | 0.98 (0.85 to 1.12) | 0.715 | 1.11 (0.95 to 1.29) | 0.186 | 0.53 (0.37 to 0.76) | 0.001 | 0.48 (0.33 to 0.71) | < 0.001 | |
Obese | 0.84 (0.64 to 1.10) | 0.207 | 0.90 (0.67 to 1.21) | 0.501 | 0.62 (0.30 to 1.30) | 0.207 | 0.69 (0.31 to 1.52) | 0.357 | |
Education level | College or higher education | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Middle school or lower education | 2.17 (1.94 to 2.42) | < 0.001 | 2.19 (1.94 to 2.47) | < 0.001 | 2.57 (1.94 to 3.42) | < 0.001 | 1.18 (0.86 to 1.60) | 0.303 | |
Household income | Third and highest quartile | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Lowest and second quartile | 1.57 (1.41 to 1.74) | < 0.001 | 1.66 (1.48 to 1.87) | < 0.001 | 1.33 (1.03 to 1.71) | 0.026 | 0.80 (0.61 to 1.06) | 0.114 | |
Smoking status | Non-smoker | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Smoker or ex-smoker | 2.97 (2.66 to 3.31) | < 0.001 | 3.15 (2.79 to 3.57) | < 0.001 | 2.42 (1.89 to 3.09) | < 0.001 | 0.77 (0.58 to 1.01) | 0.058 | |
Increased central adipositya | |||||||||
Sex | Female | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Male | 1.20 (1.13 to 1.28) | < 0.001 | 1.18 (1.10 to 1.27) | < 0.001 | 1.18 (1.03 to 1.36) | 0.015 | 1.00 (0.86 to 1.17) | 0.990 | |
Age, years | 30–39 | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
40–49 | 2.29 (1.91 to 2.75) | < 0.001 | 2.21 (1.80 to 2.71) | < 0.001 | 2.63 (1.72 to 4.01) | < 0.001 | 1.19 (0.74 to 1.90) | 0.472 | |
50–59 | 4.10 (3.45 to 4.87) | < 0.001 | 3.86 (3.19 to 4.67) | < 0.001 | 5.00 (3.35 to 7.46) | < 0.001 | 1.29 (0.83 to 2.02) | 0.255 | |
≥60 | 6.15 (5.21 to 7.25) | < 0.001 | 5.75 (4.79 to 6.91) | < 0.001 | 7.33 (5.00 to 10.75) | < 0.001 | 1.28 (0.83 to 1.95) | 0.262 | |
Region of residence | Urban | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Rural | 1.14 (1.05 to 1.24) | 0.002 | 1.12 (1.01 to 1.23) | 0.026 | 1.30 (1.11 to 1.53) | 0.001 | 1.17 (0.97 to 1.41) | 0.103 | |
BMI groupb | Underweight or normal weight | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Overweight | 1.18 (1.08 to 1.29) | < 0.001 | 1.30 (1.17 to 1.44) | < 0.001 | 0.80 (0.66 to 0.97) | 0.021 | 0.62 (0.49 to 0.77) | < 0.001 | |
Obese | 1.03 (0.94 to 1.12) | 0.551 | 1.14 (1.04 to 1.26) | 0.007 | 0.68 (0.57 to 0.81) | < 0.001 | 0.60 (0.49 to 0.73) | < 0.001 | |
Education level | College or higher education | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Middle school or lower education | 1.73 (1.62 to 1.84) | < 0.001 | 1.75 (1.62 to 1.88) | < 0.001 | 2.12 (1.85 to 2.43) | < 0.001 | 1.21 (1.04 to 1.42) | 0.014 | |
Household income | Third and highest quartile | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Lowest and second quartile | 1.55 (1.45 to 1.64) | < 0.001 | 1.51 (1.41 to 1.62) | < 0.001 | 1.74 (1.54 to 1.98) | < 0.001 | 1.15 (0.99 to 1.33) | 0.051 | |
Smoking status | Non-smoker | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Smoker or ex-smoker | 1.44 (1.35 to 1.53) | < 0.001 | 1.41 (1.32 to 1.52) | < 0.001 | 1.48 (1.29 to 1.70) | < 0.001 | 1.05 (0.90 to 1.22) | 0.541 | |
High central adipositya | |||||||||
Sex | Female | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Male | 1.07 (0.94 to 1.23) | 0.327 | 1.01 (0.86 to 1.19) | 0.909 | 1.05 (0.81 to 1.35) | 0.715 | 1.04 (0.77 to 1.40) | 0.808 | |
Age, years | 30–39 | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
40–49 | 1.98 (1.39 to 2.80) | < 0.001 | 2.30 (1.52 to 3.47) | < 0.001 | 1.61 (0.85 to 3.05) | 0.143 | 0.70 (0.33 to 1.50) | 0.360 | |
50–59 | 2.32 (1.67 to 3.22) | < 0.001 | 2.65 (1.80 to 3.91) | < 0.001 | 2.00 (1.08 to 3.69) | 0.027 | 0.75 (0.37 to 1.56) | 0.446 | |
≥60 | 2.59 (1.93 to 3.46) | < 0.001 | 3.31 (2.36 to 4.66) | < 0.001 | 1.70 (0.99 to 2.91) | 0.055 | 0.51 (0.27 to 0.97) | 0.040 | |
Region of residence | Urban | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Rural | 0.93 (0.80 to 1.07) | 0.292 | 0.95 (0.80 to 1.12) | 0.525 | 0.93 (0.72 to 1.22) | 0.608 | 0.99 (0.72 to 1.35) | 0.925 | |
BMI groupb | Underweight or normal weight | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Overweight | 5.85 (2.54 to 13.47) | < 0.001 | 10.66 (4.19 to 27.12) | < 0.001 | 0.55 (0.10 to 2.86) | 0.472 | 0.05 (0.01 to 0.34) | 0.002 | |
Obese | 8.24 (3.79 to 17.94) | < 0.001 | 16.00 (6.72 to 38.08) | < 0.001 | 0.59 (0.13 to 2.77) | 0.503 | 0.04 (0.01 to 0.22) | < 0.001 | |
Education level | College or higher education | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Middle school or lower education | 1.26 (1.10 to 1.45) | 0.001 | 1.43 (1.21 to 1.68) | < 0.001 | 1.12 (0.87 to 1.45) | 0.373 | 0.79 (0.58 to 1.07) | 0.127 | |
Household income | Third and highest quartile | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Lowest and second quartile | 1.35 (1.18 to 1.54) | < 0.001 | 1.49 (1.27 to 1.75) | < 0.001 | 1.19 (0.93 to 1.52) | 0.160 | 0.80 (0.60 to 1.07) | 0.132 | |
Smoking status | Non-smoker | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | ||||
Smoker or ex-smoker | 1.32 (1.16 to 1.51) | < 0.001 | 1.28 (1.09 to 1.50) | 0.002 | 1.34 (1.04 to 1.73) | 0.026 | 1.05 (0.78 to 1.42) | 0.756 | |