Table 5 The potential distribution area of the Fritillaria przewalskii species in the 2050s and 2090s.
Species | Model | Period | Area of each suitable region (× 104 Km2) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unsuitable region | Unchanged region | Expansion region | Contraction region | |||
Fritillaria przewalskii | BCC-CSM2-MR | Current vs. SSP1-2.6–2050 s | 896.66 | 32.76 | 7.32 | 4.61 |
Current vs. SSP2-4.5–2050 s | 897.43 | 31.83 | 6.55 | 5.54 | ||
Current vs. SSP3-7.0–2050 s | 897.58 | 32.76 | 6.40 | 4.61 | ||
Current vs. SSP5-8.5–2050 s | 897.98 | 33.78 | 4.07 | 5.48 | ||
Current vs. SSP1-2.6–2090 s | 898.85 | 32.61 | 5.13 | 4.76 | ||
Current vs. SSP2-4.5–2090 s | 899.91 | 31.89 | 6.00 | 3.60 | ||
Current vs. SSP3-7.0–2090 s | 896.75 | 32.10 | 7.23 | 5.27 | ||
Current vs. SSP5-8.5–2090 s | 899.61 | 29.87 | 4.37 | 7.50 | ||
BCC-CSM1.1 | Current vs. RCP2.6–2050 s | 882.46 | 48.46 | 5.19 | 4.53 | |
Current vs. RCP4.5–2050 s | 884.02 | 47.77 | 2.84 | 6.62 | ||
Current vs. RCP6.0–2050 s | 881.67 | 49.86 | 4.40 | 5.94 | ||
Current vs. RCP8.5–2050 s | 883.05 | 47.82 | 3.80 | 6.57 | ||
Current vs. RCP2.6–2090 s | 883.05 | 47.82 | 3.81 | 6.58 | ||
Current vs. RCP4.5–2090 s | 883.50 | 44.37 | 3.36 | 10.02 | ||
Current vs. RCP6.0–2090 s | 883.71 | 47.90 | 3.15 | 6.49 | ||
Current vs. RCP8.5–2090 s | 883.50 | 45.89 | 3.37 | 8.50 | ||
MIROC | Current vs. RCP2.6–2050 s | 882.80 | 47.60 | 5.19 | 4.53 | |
Current vs. RCP4.5–2050 s | 883.38 | 47.61 | 3.48 | 6.79 | ||
Current vs. RCP6.0–2050 s | 881.67 | 49.86 | 4.06 | 6.79 | ||
Current vs. RCP8.5–2050 s | 884.06 | 45.68 | 2.79 | 8.71 | ||
Current vs. RCP2.6–2090 s | 881.21 | 47.83 | 5.64 | 6.56 | ||
Current vs. RCP4.5–2090 s | 883.58 | 46.50 | 3.28 | 7.90 | ||
Current vs. RCP6.0–2090 s | 883.18 | 45.02 | 3.68 | 9.37 | ||
Current vs. RCP8.5–2090 s | 883.97 | 47.32 | 2.89 | 7.08 | ||