Table 3 Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model parameters and their corresponding AIC and BIC for prediction of ASIR, ASPR, ASMR, and ASDR (per 100,000) for SAH for the next 20 years in asia. Based on the legend in Fig. 5, the red line represents the current data, while the blue line indicates the predicted data.
From: Burden of subarachnoid hemorrhage in Asia and ARIMA model prediction trends from 1990 to 2021
Measures | Parameters | AIC | BIC | Ljung–Box test p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Incidence | ARIMA(2,1,1) | −99.17 | −93.43 | 0.699 |
Prevalence | ARIMA(1,2,0) | −73.37 | −70.56 | 0.882 |
Deaths | ARIMA(0,2,0) | −46.07 | −44.67 | 0.142 |
DALYs | ARIMA(0,2,0) | 136.63 | 138.03 | 0.223 |
