Table 2 Multivariate fine and Gray competing risk regression model for the development of AE-IIP adjusted for age, gender, and %predicted FVC.

From: Risk stratification of acute exacerbations by autoantibodies in patients with idiopathic interstitial pneumonia

Variable

Hazard ratio

95% CI

p-value

q-value*

IPAF, +

0.423

0.098–1.821

0.248

0.400

UIP pattern on HRCT, +

0.467

0.187–1.165

0.103

0.269

Honeycomb lung with HRCT, +

0.985

0.450–2.153

0.969

0.969

UIP pattern on Pathology, +

0.918

0.255–3.305

0.895

0.969

ΔFVC in one year, % pred

0.965

0.942–0.988

0.003

0.027

DLCO, % pred ≥ 68% (median), +

0.754

0.327–1.739

0.508

0.762

ΔDLCO in one year, % pred.

0.970

0.937–1.005

0.090

0.269

Mucocutaneous lesion, +

1.147

0.350–3.753

0.821

0.969

Joint lesion, +

1.711

0.258–11.364

0.578

0.810

Dry symptoms or findings, +

0.953

0.229–3.973

0.947

0.969

LDH ≥ 220 U/L (median), +

1.713

0.836–3.508

0.141

0.330

KL-6, U/mL

1.000

1.000–1.000

0.072

0.269

SP-D, mg/dL

1.001

0.999–1.003

0.246

0.400

CRP, mg/dL

0.980

0.879–1.092

0.714

0.938

Anti-CCP antibody, +

4.407

1.608–12.075

0.004

0.027

RF ≥ 30†, +

0.312

0.044–2.231

0.246

0.400

PM/DM-, SSc-related antibodies** or ANA ≥ 320†, +

< 0.001‡

0.000 – <0.001

< 0.001

< 0.001

Steroid treatment only before AE-IIP, +

0.545

0.208–1.428

0.217

0.400

Immunosuppressive treatment before AE-IIP§, +

0.479

0.202–1.137

0.095

0.269

Anti-fibrotic treatment before AE-IIP, +

0.505

0.228–1.119

0.092

0.269

Development of systemic autoimmune diseases, +

1.068

0.153–7.447

0.947

0.969

  1. * q-values represent the p-values adjusted for multiple comparisons using Storey’s q-value method, which controls the false discovery rate.
  2. ** PM/DM- or SSc-related antibodies include anti-ARS antibody, anti-Jo-1 antibody, anti-Scl70 antibody, anti-RNP antibody, anti-RNA polymerase III antibody, and anti-centromere antibody.
  3. † Thresholds of RF ≥ 30 and ANA ≥ 320 were set based on the criteria for IPAF (Fischer, A. et al. Eur Respir J 46, 976–987 (2015).).
  4. ‡ Numerical instability for small number of event issue.
  5. § Immunosuppressive therapy was defined as corticosteroid and/or immunosuppressants.
  6. Abbreviations; CI: confidence interval, IPF: idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, FVC: forced vital capacity, DLCO: diffusion lung capacity for carbon monoxide, HRCT: high-resolution computed tomography, UIP: usual interstitial pneumonia, LDH: lactate dehydrogenase, KL-6: Krebs von den Lungen-6, SP-D: surfactant protein-D, AE: acute exacerbation, ANA: antinuclear antibody, ANCA: anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody, RF: rheumatoid factor, CCP: cyclic citrullinated peptide, ARS: aminoacyl tRNA synthetase, CRP: C reactive protein, IPAF: interstitial pneumonia with autoimmune features, PM/DM: polymyositis/dermatomyositis, SSc: systemic sclerosis.