Introduction

Latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) poses a significant global public health concern, with approximately one-quarter of the world’s population estimated to be infected with mycobacterium tuberculosis1,2,3. As a non-infectious, asymptomatic immunological state, LTBI acts as a persistent reservoir, perpetuating the transmission and emergence of new tuberculosis cases2,4.

As we all known, host immune responses and inflammatory processes are critically involved in both the occurrence and progression of LTBI5. Effective cellular immunity can suppress the proliferation and spread of Mycobacterium tuberculosis, while excessive inflammatory activity may result in tissue injury and facilitate the shift from latent to active disease6. Thus, there is a pressing need for comprehensive biomarkers that accurately reflect the host’s immune-inflammatory status to enhance risk assessment and diagnostic stratification for LTBI7. The pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV) is a recently introduced biomarker that combines indicators of systemic inflammation and immune function, calculated from routine blood cell counts-including neutrophils, monocytes, platelets, and lymphocytes8,9,10. Prior studies have demonstrated that PIV exhibits superior predictive value for outcomes in cancer and for assessing the risk of inflammation-driven conditions, outperforming conventional single or composite markers9,11,12,13,14,15. While composite inflammatory indices such as the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) have been found to be negatively associated with latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI)7,16, systematic research specifically investigating the relationship between PIV and LTBI risk remains scarce.

Given this gap, the present study utilizes data from the nationally representative National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) in the United States to analyze the association between PIV levels and the risk of LTBI.

Methods

Data source

NHANES, administered by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), is a nationwide study that utilizes personal interviews, physical measurements, and laboratory tests to capture detailed demographic, health, and nutrition data from a representative sample of US residents, providing data critical for research and public health strategies17. This study utilized data from participants in the NHANES 2011–2012 cycle. We excluded subjects under 20 years of age, those who were pregnant, reported having active tuberculosis, or lacked data on QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube (QFT-GIT), PIV, and mortality (Fig. 1). After applying these criteria, 4877 participants remained, including 497 individuals identified with LTBI and 4380 without LTBI. Ethical approval for research involving human subjects was obtained from the Ethics Review Board of the National Center for Health Statistics (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nhanes/about/erb.html). All methods were performed in accordance with the relevant guidelines and regulations, and the study protocol complies with the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki.

Fig. 1
figure 1

Study cohort selection and exclusions (NHANES 2011–2012).

Definition of PIV and LTBI

The PIV, utilized as the measure of exposure, was determined using the following equation: PIV = [neutrophil count (10^9/L) × monocyte count (10^9/L) × platelet count (10^9/L)] divided by lymphocyte count (10^9/L)10. LTBI was assessed using the QFT-GIT test, which was performed according to the manufacturer’s instructions. Peripheral blood samples were incubated with Mycobacterium tuberculosis-specific antigens at 37 °C for a duration of 16 to 24 h, after which interferon-gamma (IFN-γ) concentrations were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Interpretation of results followed the CDC recommendations for interferon-gamma release assays (IGRAs). Participants with a positive QFT-GIT were identified as having LTBI, and those with negative results were considered LTBI negative18. If QFT-GIT results were indeterminate, a positive purified protein derivative (PPD) test-defined as an induration of 10 mm or greater-was used to classify the individual as LTBI positive, irrespective of risk factors19,20.

All-cause mortality

Given that LTBI is a non-infectious, asymptomatic immunological state that does not itself cause death, the mortality analysis was prespecified as exploratory and descriptive, intended to assess whether baseline systemic inflammation (indexed by PIV) correlates with overall health status among individuals with LTBI. We analyzed all-cause mortality outcomes for LTBI patients using the NHANES Public-Use Linked Mortality File, which provides follow-up data on participants through probabilistic linkage to the National Death Index until December 31, 2019. The follow-up period began at the baseline examination at the mobile examination center and continued until death or the end of the observation period.

Covariates

Data on several covariates were collected and included in the analysis. These potential covariates comprised age (years), gender (female/male), and race (Mexican American/Non-Hispanic Black/Non-Hispanic White/Other Hispanic/Other Races), marital status (married or not), poverty income ratio (PIR), education level (above high school or not), smoking history (yes/no), body mass index (BMI, kg/m2), Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c, %), diabetes (yes/no), hypertension (yes/no), cardiovascular disease (yes/no), serum uric acid (SUA, µmol/L), and the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, mL/min/1.73m2). Calculation of eGFR was based on the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) formula, integrating variables such as age, gender, race, and serum creatinine21. Diabetes and hypertension were based on self-reported medical histories. Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) status was determined based on self-reported history of heart attack, stroke, heart failure, coronary artery disease, or angina.

Statistical analysis

Statistical analyses followed CDC recommendations and accounted for NHANES’s sampling weights. For continuous variables, median and interquartile range was reported, while categorical variables were summarized as counts and weighted proportions. Group differences were analyzed using the Kruskal-Wallis test and the chi-square test. The association between PIV and LTBI risk was evaluated using logistic regression models (Model 1: without covariate adjustment; Model 2: adjusted for age, gender, and race; Model 3: adjusted for age, gender, race, marital status, PIR, education, smoking, BMI, HbA1c, diabetes, hypertension, CVDs, SUA, and eGFR). Potential nonlinear patterns were explored with Restricted Cubic Spline (RCS)22. Subgroup analyses assessed potential effect modifiers, stratifying by age, gender, BMI, diabetes, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, and eGFR. Multivariate Cox regression examined the association of PIV with all-cause mortality among LTBI patients. Sensitivity analyses were conducted by excluding participants with major noncommunicable diseases (diabetes, hypertension, CVDs) and CKD (eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m²) to assess the robustness of the results. PIV levels were also compared between individuals with LTBI and those who self-reported active TB in NHANES. All analyses were conducted with R version 4.2.1, and a two-sided P value < 0.05 denoted statistical significance.

Results

Baseline characteristics

A total of 4877 adults were stratified by LTBI status for demographic and clinical characteristic comparisons (Table 1). Compared to the non-LTBI group, participants in the LTBI group were older and had a higher proportion of males (P < 0.001). The LTBI group also exhibited a lower PIR, a lower percentage of higher education attainment, and a higher prevalence of smoking history (P < 0.05). For clinical indicators, the LTBI group had higher levels of HbA1c and a higher prevalence of diabetes and hypertension (P < 0.01). There were no statistically significant differences between groups regarding BMI, CVDs, and SUA levels (P > 0.05). Moreover, the LTBI group exhibited lower eGFR as well as significantly lower PIV (P < 0.01). Table 2 shows that participants in higher PIV quartiles were older and had lower PIR and education levels (P < 0.01). Higher PIV was associated with increased smoking, higher BMI and HbA1c, and greater rates of diabetes, hypertension, and CVDs (P < 0.001). Significant differences in SUA and eGFR were observed across quartiles (P < 0.001). The prevalence of LTBI was lowest in the highest PIV group (P = 0.001).

Table 1 Participant characteristics by LTBI Status-Lower median PIV in LTBI.
Table 2 Participant characteristics across PIV quartiles-Lowest LTBI prevalence in quartile 4.

Logistic regression analysis of PIV and LTBI risk

Logistic regression revealed a significant positive link between PIV (as a continuous variable) and LTBI risk (see Table 3). In unadjusted Model 1, increased log (PIV) values were associated with decreased LTBI risk (OR = 0.565, 95%CI 0.415–0.768, P < 0.001). This relationship persisted after adjusting for covariates in Models 2 (adjusted for age, gender, and race) and 3 (adjusted for age, gender, race, marital status, PIR, education, smoking, BMI, HbA1c, diabetes, hypertension, CVDs, SUA, and eGFR), with adjusted ORs of 0.598 (95%CI 0.431–0.830, P = 0.002) and 0.597 (95%CI 0.415–0.858, P = 0.005), respectively. When categorizing PIV into quartiles (Q1-Q4) and fully adjusting for confounders, the risk of LTBI changed across quartiles (Q1: reference; Q2: OR = 1.167 (95%CI 0.879–1.550); Q3: OR = 0.979 (95%CI 0.727–1.318); Q4: OR = 0.610 (95% CI 0.439–0.848) (P for trend = 0.003).

Table 3 Higher PIV is independently associated with lower odds of LTBI (logistic models).

RCS and subgroup analyses

The results from RCS analysis, adjusted for confounding factors including age, gender, race, marital status, PIR, education, smoking, BMI, HbA1c, diabetes, hypertension, CVDs, SUA, and eGFR, reinforced the presence of a dose-response association between PIV and LTBI, as depicted in Fig. 2 (P for nonlinear = 0.062). To assess the robustness of this relationship, subgroup analyses were conducted across different demographic groups, while controlling for the above covariates. As shown in Fig. 3, the positive association between PIV and LTBI risk remained significant irrespective of demographic factors, including age, gender, BMI, diabetes, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, and eGFR, with no significant interaction detected (P for interaction > 0.05).

Fig. 2
figure 2

Dose-response association between PIV and LTBI risk (adjusted RCS).

Fig. 3
figure 3

Consistent inverse PIV–LTBI association across clinical subgroups (no significant interaction).

Cox regression analysis of PIV and all-cause mortality risk in LTBI patients

Among 497 patients diagnosed with LTBI, 64 all-cause deaths were recorded over a median follow-up period of 93 months. Baseline Cox regression analysis indicated that elevated baseline log (PIV) was not associated with an increased all-cause mortality risk (P = 0.178). Nevertheless, after comprehensive adjustment (age, gender, race, marital status, PIR, education, smoking, BMI, HbA1c, diabetes, hypertension, CVDs, SUA, and eGFR), individuals in the highest quartile faced a 2.748-fold greater risk of all-cause mortality compared to those in the lowest quartile (OR = 2.748, 95%CI 1.131–6.677, P = 0.026).(Table 4).

Table 4 Elevated PIV predicts higher All-Cause mortality among participants with LTBI (Cox Models).

Sensitivity analyses and PIV in active-TB patients

Sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the robustness of the findings, excluding participants with major non-communicable diseases (diabetes, hypertension, CVDs) and those with CKD (eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2). The association between PIV and LTBI remained directionally consistent and of similar magnitude compared with the primary analysis (Supplementary Table 1). In the unadjusted Model 1 and the adjusted Models 2 (adjusted for age, gender, and race) and 3 (adjusted for age, gender, race, marital status, PIR, education, smoking, BMI, HbA1c, SUA, and eGFR), the ORs were 0.559 (95%CI 0.353–0.887, P = 0.013), 0.648 (95%CI 0.400–1.050, P = 0.078), and 0.586 (95%CI 0.344–0.997, P = 0.049), respectively. Additionally, we compared PIV levels between participants with LTBI and those with self-reported active TB (Supplementary Table 2). PIV levels tended to be higher in individuals with active TB than in those with LTBI (203.44 (146.15-333.49) vs. 197.27 (128.06–294.00), P = 0.191); however, this difference did not reach statistical significance, likely due to the relatively small sample size.

Discussion

This study is the first to systematically investigate the relationship between the PIV and LTBI, and it uncovers a significant negative correlation between these two factors. Furthermore, after adjusting for confounding factors, we found that highest PIV quartile levels were positively associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality among LTBI patients. These findings provide valuable new perspectives for tuberculosis infection prevention and control strategies, as well as for the assessment of host immune status.

PIV, which integrates peripheral blood indices such as neutrophils, platelets, monocytes, and lymphocytes, serves as a comprehensive biomarker of immune and inflammatory status10. It has been validated as a prognostic factor in multiple conditions, including cancer and cardiovascular disorders9,23,24. Nevertheless, its significance in non-infectious, asymptomatic immunological diseases like LTBI has not been previously established. In this cross-sectional analysis, individuals with LTBI had lower PIV than IGRA-negative controls; However, this association should be interpreted cautiously and does not imply causation. Physiologically, early Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection rarely prompts systemic inflammation, and LTBI hinges on finely balanced adaptive immunity25. Reduced neutrophil, monocyte, and platelet counts may reflect subdued inflammation, while maintained lymphocyte levels support adaptive responses25,26. Distinct from active tuberculosis, LTBI individuals generally sustain lower systemic inflammation27. This negative correlation with PIV may reflect the “immunological standstill” characteristic of LTBI, where inflammatory activation remains limited, favoring pathogen persistence and immune equilibrium27,28. Importantly, PIV captures systemic inflammatory burden rather than pathogen- or pathway-specific immunity. Given the dynamic and heterogeneous nature of LTBI-encompassing possible sterilizing immunity (“resisters”), transient subclinical infection, and shifting host-pathogen equilibria-single, static PIV measurements may not capture relevant immunologic nuances. Accordingly, our findings are hypothesis-generating and suggest that accessible inflammatory composites might complement, rather than replace, TB-specific immune markers.

We also observed higher PIV levels are associated with an increased mortality risk in individuals with LTBI. Elevated PIV indicates heightened systemic inflammation, which could result from reactivation of latent tuberculosis, coexisting chronic diseases, or other underlying conditions. Prior studies have also shown that elevated PIV is linked to higher all-cause mortality, particularly in chronic disease and cancer29,30. In the LTBI subgroup, higher PIV likely serves as a nonspecific indicator of overall health status and inflammatory burden rather than a marker of LTBI-related lethality. These exploratory findings warrant cautious interpretation and replication in cohorts with richer comorbidity and cause-of-death data.

Several limitations should be acknowledged in this study. Firstly, the cross-sectional nature of the NHANES dataset does not permit inference of causality between PIV levels and risk of LTBI. Secondly, despite adjustments for relevant covariates, unmeasured confounders such as human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) serostatus, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and co-infections may have influenced our results. Additionally, peripheral blood cell counts may not fully capture tissue-specific immune perturbations relevant to TB pathogenesis, particularly within the lung microenvironment where TB primarily manifests. Thirdly, PIV and related laboratory markers were assessed only once, preventing analysis of their temporal fluctuations or impacts on LTBI and mortality risk over time. Finally, because our sample comprised exclusively of US residents, generalizability to other settings with differing demographics or burdens of tuberculosis may be limited.

Conclusion

This study reveals that lower PIV is associated with a higher risk of LTBI. Within the LTBI population, elevated PIV levels were associated with increased all-cause mortality in exploratory analyses, likely reflecting overall systemic inflammation and comorbidity burden.