Table 1 The ASR and EAPC of malaria before and after COVID-19.
Valuables | ASR (per 100,000, 95% UI) | EAPC (95% CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2010 | 2019 | 2021 | 2010–2019 | 2019–2021 | |
Incidence | 3789.28 (3242.61–4534.81) | 3332.96 (2666.75–4225.54) | 3485.27 (2804.46–4435.69) | −1.44 (−2.09 to −0.79) | 2.26 (1.84 to 2.68) |
Gender | |||||
Males | 3713.96 (3180.22–4443.51) | 3243.95 (2596.91–4121.76) | 3391.36 (2730.29–4328.57) | −1.52 (−2.18 to −0.86) | 2.25 (1.88 to 2.62) |
Females | 3869.58 (3309.24–4632.22) | 3426.81 (2740.39–4334.97) | 3584.21 (2882.6–4548.86) | −1.37 (−2.01 to −0.72) | 2.27 (1.8 to 2.74) |
Age groups | |||||
<5 | 15888.25 (12061.13–20195.77) | 13777.57 (9464.48–19376.96) | 14631.95 (10175.3–21120.91) | −1.73 (−2.42 to −1.04) | 3.05 (2.03 to 4.09) |
0–14 | 5788.96 (3835.16–8742.78) | 5197.37 (3533.14–8518.44) | 5374.12 (3599.83–8849.54) | −1.24 (−1.84 to −0.63) | 1.69 (−0.02 to 3.42) |
15–49 | 2017.07 (1635.37–2432.14) | 1814.84 (1360.36–2309.04) | 1885.02 (1454.75–2451.67) | −1.02 (−1.71 to −0.32) | 1.92 (0.52 to 3.33) |
50–69 | 595.32 (540.23–668.05) | 357.12 (298.9–428.03) | 346.07 (278.23–444.32) | −5.16 (−6.27 to −4.04) | −1.56 (−7.55 to 4.82) |
70+ | 321.26 (307.28–343.52) | 151.89 (137.8–177.61) | 133.77 (105.74–183.29) | −7.25 (−8.64 to −5.83) | −6.16 (−16.38 to 5.32) |
SDI | |||||
Low | 15018.97 (13072.92–17441.34) | 11775.98 (9900.72–14246.06) | 11883.52 (9755.64–14691.05) | −2.77 (−3.24 to −2.3) | 0.46 (0.09 to 0.82) |
Low-middle | 3664.36 (3126.12–4325.38) | 3087.42 (2454.99–3899.34) | 3160.63 (2438.56–4089.91) | −1.76 (−2.66 to −0.84) | 1.18 (0.98 to 1.38) |
Middle | 837.79 (694.51–1025.99) | 679.61 (519.14–916.27) | 750.12 (489.97–1093.02) | −1.68 (−4.2 to 0.91) | 5.06 (2.95 to 7.21) |
High-middle | 5.61 (5.23–6.12) | 10.36 (7.17–20.54) | 6.41 (2.5–16.81) | 13.2 (−3.09 to 32.22) | −21.3 (−51.09 to 26.61) |
High | 0.16 (0.16–0.17) | 0.05 (0.05–0.05) | 0.06 (0.01–0.16) | −6.03 (−12.94 to 1.43) | 3.72 (−6.00 to 14.44) |
Deaths | 13.00 (7.05–21.16) | 9.30 (3.73–18.07) | 10.51 (3.81–21.45) | −3.66 (−4.32 to −3.00) | 6.28 (−0.18 to 13.16) |
Gender | |||||
Males | 13.34 (7.02–22.34) | 9.56 (3.74–18.89) | 10.81 (3.84–22.37) | −3.66 (−4.35 to −2.95) | 6.37 (−0.19 to 13.36) |
Females | 12.69 (7.1–20.47) | 9.06 (3.74–17.3) | 10.21 (3.77–20.48) | −3.67 (−4.29 to −3.05) | 6.17 (−0.19 to 12.94) |
Age groups | |||||
<5 | 81.44 (45.48–128.2) | 56.78 (24.16–104.39) | 64.48 (25.73–121.11) | −3.95 (−4.37 to −3.52) | 6.57 (−0.43 to 14.05) |
0–14 | 5.01 (2.82–8.21) | 3.09 (1.15–6.26) | 3.36 (0.97–7.49) | −5.28 (−6.42 to −4.13) | 4.28 (1.61 to 7.02) |
15–49 | 3.85 (1.9–6.63) | 2.99 (1.04–6.21) | 3.4 (1.06–7.67) | −2.7 (−3.79 to −1.6) | 6.71 (0.86 to 12.91) |
50–69 | 9.17 (4.31–16.13) | 6.33 (2.21–13.62) | 6.97 (2.15–16.67) | −4.14 (−5.23 to −3.03) | 4.92 (−1.31 to 11.54) |
70+ | 9.41 (4.58–15.79) | 8.21 (2.88–17.70) | 8.85 (2.8–20.70) | −0.82 (−2.52 to 0.91) | 3.81 (−0.92 to 8.78) |
SDI | |||||
Low | 58.88 (30.82–100.15) | 46.05 (15.7–96.30) | 42.03 (16.01–85.35) | −3.67 (−4.3 to −3.04) | 4.68 (−2.24 to 12.08) |
Low-middle | 13.14 (6.81–22.05) | 8.79 (3.44–17.09) | 9.6 (3.46–20.83) | −4.19 (−4.96 to −3.41) | 4.51 (−0.43 to 9.69) |
Middle | 3.81 (2.14–5.98) | 2.51 (0.85–5.12) | 2.37 (1.04–4.33) | −4.76 (−6.94 to −2.53) | 2.98 (−1.89 to 8.09) |
High-middle | 0.02 (0.01–0.04) | 0.01 (0.01–0.02) | 0.01 (0–0.03) | 1.49 (−17.85 to 25.37) | −8.48 (−40.55 to 40.89) |
High | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | −11.14 (−17.41 to −4.39) | 0.83 (−2.82 to 4.60) |
DALYs | 998.63 (570.72–1580.02) | 713.06 (307.94–1320.28) | 806 (318.93–1570.18) | −3.72 (−4.33 to −3.10) | 6.32 (−0.02 to 13.05) |
Gender | |||||
Males | 999.65 (550.53–1623.26) | 714.05 (298.65–1347.86) | 809.66 (314.56–1607.22) | −3.73 (−4.37 to −3.08) | 6.48 (0.03 to 13.36) |
Females | 998.95 (586.2–1564.44) | 712.94 (318.34–1301.07) | 803.08 (326.01–1522.13) | −3.71 (−4.28 to −3.13) | 6.13 (−0.08 to 12.73) |
Age groups | |||||
<5 | 7297.3 (4136.4–11430.84) | 5097.38 (2212.05–9283.96) | 5778.06 (2350.49–10773.05) | −3.93 (−4.36 to −3.50) | 6.47 (−0.37 to 13.77) |
0–14 | 477.72 (291.52–743.25) | 311.43 (156.07–565.62) | 334.58 (139.9–671.34) | −4.73 (−5.74 to −3.70) | 3.65 (1.28 to 6.08) |
15–49 | 246.18 (128.47–407.82) | 192.83 (77.69–378.94) | 217.82 (79.25–462.62) | −2.61 (−3.68 to −1.53) | 6.28 (1.07 to 11.77) |
50–69 | 293.26 (141.11–510.45) | 203.28 (73.27–429.78) | 223.45 (72.24–524.89) | −4.09 (−5.17 to −3.01) | 4.85 (−1.14 to 11.20) |
70+ | 184.17 (92.58–303.35) | 150.76 (55.00–320.48) | 162.71 (53.31–376.83) | −1.69 (−3.00 to −0.36) | 3.89 (−0.93 to 8.93) |
SDI | |||||
Low | 3842.13 (2159.75–6266.72) | 2629.88 (1106.72–5049.85) | 2869.17 (1107.42–5683.87) | −4.16 (−4.69 to −3.63) | 4.45 (−2.32 to 11.69) |
Low-middle | 856.5 (471.56–1380.27) | 577.03 (247.95–1061.92) | 630.94 (249.1–1273.67) | −4.12 (−4.83 to −3.41) | 4.57 (−0.31 to 9.68) |
Middle | 266.76 (157.19–407.36) | 167.85 (80.18–290.54) | 177.62 (70.05–334.71) | −4.78 (−6.92 to −2.58) | 2.87 (−2.48 to 8.51) |
High-middle | 1.65 (1–2.66) | 0.93 (0.69–1.47) | 0.74 (0.14–1.93) | 2.08 (−15.38 to 23.13) | −10.95 (−39.6 to 31.3) |
High | 0.20 (0.14–0.26) | 0.05 (0.03–0.06) | 0.05 (0.03–0.07) | −15.7 (−19.3 to −11.94) | 1.3 (0.97 to 1.64) |
