Table 2 Negative binomial regressions predicting the scale of OFDI under BRI.

From: CEO political connections and OFDI of Chinese firms under the Belt and Road Initiative

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

GDP per capita

−0.0444*

−0.0434*

−0.0429*

0.0447

0.0495

 

(0.025)

(0.025)

(0.025)

(0.031)

(0.030)

GDP growth

0.0105**

0.0108**

0.0106**

0.0038

0.0032

 

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.005)

Gini coefficient

0.3320**

0.3235**

0.2928**

0.4045***

0.3723***

 

(0.142)

(0.143)

(0.141)

(0.146)

(0.144)

Population density

−0.0254*

−0.0237*

−0.0228

0.0484**

0.0528***

 

(0.014)

(0.014)

(0.014)

(0.019)

(0.019)

CPI

−0.1237**

−0.1228**

−0.1201**

−0.1128**

−0.1095**

 

(0.052)

(0.051)

(0.051)

(0.050)

(0.050)

Size

0.0506***

0.0492***

0.0474***

0.0496***

0.0479***

 

(0.012)

(0.012)

(0.012)

(0.012)

(0.012)

Adjusted ROA

0.2524

0.2394

0.2771

0.2192

0.2584

 

(0.177)

(0.176)

(0.177)

(0.173)

(0.175)

Tobin’s Q

0.0216

0.0253

0.0232

0.0268

0.0244

 

(0.030)

(0.031)

(0.031)

(0.030)

(0.030)

Book-to-market ratio

−0.1423

−0.1285

−0.1189

−0.1336

−0.1243

 

(0.128)

(0.137)

(0.136)

(0.134)

(0.134)

Net profit growth

−0.0014

−0.0013

−0.0013

−0.0015

−0.0015

 

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

Patent stock

−0.0393***

−0.0413***

−0.0407***

−0.0404***

−0.0398***

 

(0.006)

(0.007)

(0.007)

(0.007)

(0.007)

Concentration

0.0004

0.0004

0.0004

0.0003

0.0003

 

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

Separation ratio

0.0012

0.0009

0.0005

0.0007

0.0002

 

(0.002)

(0.002)

(0.002)

(0.002)

(0.002)

R&D employee ratio

−0.0017**

−0.0019**

−0.0019**

−0.0021**

−0.0021**

 

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

Marketization

0.0824***

0.0824***

0.1855***

0.0827***

0.1926***

 

(0.025)

(0.025)

(0.046)

(0.026)

(0.047)

WGI

0.1147***

0.1101**

0.1039**

0.1058***

0.1067***

 

(0.043)

(0.044)

(0.043)

(0.068)

(0.066)

Politics

 

0.0820**

0.0948***

0.0944**

0.1115***

  

(0.036)

(0.037)

(0.042)

(0.043)

Politics × Marketization

  

−0.1311***

 

−0.1395***

   

(0.043)

 

(0.043)

Politics × WGI

   

−0.1465***

−0.1637***

    

(0.040)

(0.039)

Industry

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Year

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

(constant)

−1.9130**

−1.8881**

−1.0620***

−1.2021***

−1.5552***

 

(0.829)

(0.819)

(0.983)

(1.050)

(1.187)

N

3226

3216

3216

3216

3216

Pseudo R2

0.0237

0.0241

0.0251

0.0253

0.0264

Log pseudolikelihood

−3883.2646

−3869.524

−3865.6107

−3864.6642

−3860.2555

  1. Values in the table are unstandardized regression coefficients. Standard errors are in parentheses.
  2. *p < 0.1, **p < 0.05, ***p < 0.01.