Table 2 Interactions of Social Factors and Infrastructure on heat mortality: linear regression for 3051 counties between 2010 and 2020.

From: An inference approach for assessing place-based vulnerability to heat mortality

a. Linear Regression Model

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

Model 7

Number of Extreme Heat Events

3.453***

3.112***

2.757***

3.383***

3.210***

2.842***

3.096***

 

(0.360)

(0.323)

(0.346)

(0.360)

(0.388)

(0.346)

(0.389)

Air Conditioning Uninstallation Rate

0.842**

  

0.537

0.787*

 

0.458

 

(0.305)

  

(0.318)

(0.306)

 

(0.320)

Normalized Difference Vegetation Index

 

−1.012***

 

−0.886**

 

−1.040***

−0.928***

  

(0.254)

 

(0.265)

 

(0.254)

(0.266)

Below Poverty Line Rate

  

0.805*

 

0.692

0.882*

0.808*

   

(0.409)

 

(0.411)

(0.409)

(0.412)

Constant

−8.114***

−7.038***

−7.903***

−7.343***

−8.193***

−7.147***

−7.398***

 

(0.201)

(0.247)

(0.172)

(0.306)

(0.206)

(0.252)

(0.307)

R-sq

0.030

0.033

0.029

0.034

0.031

0.034

0.035

Adj. R-sq

0.029

0.032

0.028

0.033

0.030

0.033

0.034

N

3051

3051

3051

3051

3051

3051

3051

b. Structure Equation Modeling

 

AC

NDVI

Poverty

Poverty_AC

Poverty_NDVI

Heat Death

−0.09***

−0.18***

0.01

0.00

−0.06**

 

(4.25)

(4.26)

(6.91)

(0.95)

(0.87)

  1. a is the linear regression model results. We examine the impacts of extreme heat frequency, three leading decisive factors (social factor: Poverty; and infrastructure: NDVI, AC), and Aging on heat mortality in seven linear regression models. We use the county-level heat-related mortality rate as the dependent variable, with EHE (Extreme Heat Events), and social or infrastructure factors as independent variables, to quantify the interaction between social factors and infrastructure. The differences in coefficients of factors between models help identify the role of infrastructure in shaping heat-related mortality. Structural equation modeling b shows the results of SEM. Specifically, Poverty_AC and Poverty_NDVI mean the interaction between poverty and AC, poverty and NDVI.