Fig. 3: Seasonal variation of re-forecast sea surface temperature trend errors.
From: Climate model trend errors are evident in seasonal forecasts at short leads
Multi-model mean sea surface temperature trend error relative to ERA5 (1993–2016) for four different initialisations (September, December, March, June) averaged over two-season leads for verification in a DJF b MAM c JJA and d SON. Positive values indicate that the model trend is more positive (or less negative) than ERA5, and vice versa. Hatching indicates statistical significance at the 5% level.
