Table 1 The number of heat-related diabetes deaths under climate change scenarios
Variables | Total | Region | Gender | Age, years | Education | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North | South | Male | Female | 0–74 | 75+ | Illiterate | Primary school or higher | ||
SSP1-2.6 | |||||||||
2010s | 1520 (768, 2415) | 454 (172, 760.9) | 1066 (551, 1726) | 926 (−399, 2140) | 733 (392, 1175) | 610 (308, 999) | 1738 (−2535, 5493) | 804 (422, 1312) | 866 (−102, 1759) |
2030s | 2562 (1383, 3837) | 779 (305, 1308) | 1783 (1031, 2628) | 1388 (−479, 3069) | 1283 (702, 1954) | 1072 (543, 1699) | 2368 (−2664, 6603) | 1411 (744, 2209) | 1289 (126, 2426) |
2050s | 3106 (1612, 4759) | 943 (369, 1625) | 2164 (1166, 3327) | 1615 (−575, 3602) | 1573 (814, 2487) | 1324 (641, 2174) | 2668 (−2681, 7162) | 1727 (861, 2816) | 1499 (232, 2791) |
2090s | 3097 (1437, 5118) | 966 (393, 1688) | 2131 (998, 3684) | 1619 (−566, 3713) | 1562 (719, 2670) | 1328 (585, 2334) | 2661 (−2699, 7223) | 1706 (755, 3008) | 1507 (203, 2889) |
SSP2-4.5 | |||||||||
2010s | 1498 (778, 2314) | 440 (165, 747) | 1058 (567, 1648) | 916 (−402, 2112) | 721 (404, 1106) | 600 (313, 948) | 1726 (−2534, 5465) | 791 (431, 1243) | 858 (−103, 1744) |
2030s | 2497 (1395, 3864) | 778 (3010, 1437) | 1719 (1020, 2617) | 1358 (−473, 3027) | 1247 (711, 1983) | 1046 (551, 1715) | 2323 (−2653, 6525) | 1370 (755, 2227) | 1265 (108, 2415) |
2050s | 3600 (1989, 5811) | 1063 (475, 1894) | 2537 (1375, 4097) | 1816 (−691, 41110) | 1841 (9910, 3093) | 1559 (789, 2698) | 2928 (−2731, 7624) | 2025 (1055, 3495) | 1675 (319, 3111) |
2090s | 5585 (2956, 9339) | 1734 (793, 3011) | 3851 (2002, 6529) | 2606 (−1426, 6010) | 2924 (1476, 5113) | 2517 (1196, 4507) | 3938 (−2904, 9417) | 3211 (1557, 5742) | 2385 (674, 4350) |
SSP3-7.0 | |||||||||
2010s | 1477 (758, 23310) | 433 (1410, 766) | 1045 (565, 1652) | 906 (−400, 2103) | 711 (395, 1124) | 593 (304, 962) | 1710 (−2531, 5435) | 780 (422, 1257) | 847 (−107, 1736) |
2030s | 2411 (1247, 4284) | 682 (242, 1350) | 1729 (957, 3064) | 1311 (−489, 3073) | 1204 (634, 2217) | 1012 (495, 1903) | 2260 (−2625, 6430) | 1327 (677, 2494) | 1219 (86, 2435) |
2050s | 3915 (2257, 7037) | 1158 (525, 2411) | 2757 (1562, 4975) | 1932 (−843, 4556) | 2014 (1136, 3803) | 1715 (887, 3343) | 3078 (−2772, 7914) | 2216 (1190, 4295) | 1785 (388, 3435) |
2090s | 9037 (4917, 16588) | 2866 (1307, 6032) | 6171 (3223, 11142) | 3904 (−3677, 9896) | 4854 (2457, 9410) | 4220 (1983, 8305) | 5599 (−3329, 12780) | 5335 (2597, 10456) | 3518 (1114, 7118) |
SSP5-8.5 | |||||||||
2010s | 1525 (759, 2431) | 457 (163, 816) | 1069 (5410, 1725) | 927 (−402, 2145) | 736 (387, 1181) | 614 (307, 1014) | 1739 (−2534, 5496) | 806 (419, 1324) | 868 (−98, 1775) |
2030s | 2835 (1565, 4577) | 843 (352, 1609) | 1992 (1126, 3073) | 1498 (−533, 3376) | 1431 (791, 2394) | 1198 (613, 2061) | 2519 (−2671, 6879) | 1576 (835, 2687) | 1388 (173, 2616) |
2050s | 4979 (2950, 8688) | 1509 (702, 2996) | 3469 (2002, 6014) | 2356 (−1193, 5539) | 2598 (1476, 4797) | 2219 (1165, 4210) | 3636 (−2897, 8881) | 2861 (1539, 5411) | 2159 (598, 4086) |
2090s | 12956 (6861, 21937) | 4250 (1827, 7936) | 8706 (4466, 14651) | 5381 (−7160, 12688) | 7055 (3460, 12484) | 6154 (2857, 10991) | 7456 (−3885, 15479) | 7749 (3687, 13748) | 4784 (1579, 9162) |
