Abstract
Global seafood demand is increasing while oceans continue to receive substantial anthropogenic mercury, heightening concerns about the toxic methylmercury bioaccumulation in seafood. Presently, the fate of mercury in the ocean remains uncertain, hindering comprehensive assessments of marine mercury dynamics and seafood safety. Here we leverage an observation-driven dataset to demonstrate that approximately \({1{,}290}_{-400}^{+680}\,{\rm{Mg}}\) of mercury is buried annually in continental shelves, substantially reducing its bioaccumulation potential in marine food webs. This flux is sixfold greater than that in the United Nations Environment Programme’s last report and twofold to sevenfold that of deep-sea sediment burial, making continental shelves the largest marine mercury sinks. Since industrialization, mercury levels in surface shelf sediments have tripled, indicating that most buried mercury is of anthropogenic origin. However, this sink is increasingly threatened by climate-related processes, bottom trawling and dredging, which physically remobilize mercury through diffusion, stirring, redistribution and off-shelf transport. Empirical extrapolations suggest that ongoing trawling, dredging and warming may transform coastal sediments from mercury sinks to net sources. This shift may have already occurred in parts of Europe’s shelves, though additional verification is required. Our findings highlight the urgent need to reduce anthropogenic mercury and greenhouse gas emissions and balance fishery demand with ecosystem conservation to sustain these critical mercury sinks.
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Data availability
The underlying data for this study are available from the sources listed in the main text and Supplementary Information or can be found in the Supplementary Data.
Code availability
The data were collected and analysed in Microsoft Excel v.2020, R v.4.1.0, Python v.3.10.7, MATLAB v.R2020b and ArcGIS v.10.8. The R packages lme4 (ref. 87), MuMIn (ref. 88), lmerTest (ref. 89), strucchange (ref. 93) and trend (ref. 94) and the Python packages pyGAM (ref. 90), statsmodels (ref. 92), scikit-learn (ref. 96) and shap (ref. 97) were used to generate the results in this study.
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Acknowledgements
This work was partially funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant nos 42476127, 42521004 and 42577530); Science and Technology Projects of Xizang Autonomous Region, China (grant no. XZ202501ZY0091); the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (grant no. 2022M720005); Beijing Natural Science Foundation (grant no. 8244068); the public instrument platform of the College of Urban and Environmental Sciences at Peking University; and the High-Performance Computing Platform of Peking University. M.L. is also supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (grant no. 7100604874) and the Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes, Ministry of Education, Peking University.
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M.L., P.A.R. and X.W. designed the research. X.W., M.L. and Q.Z. acquired the funding needed to complete the study. C.Z. and Q.Z. collected the data. Q.Z., C.Z., X.L., H.Q. and M.L. conducted the data processing and modelling. M.L., Q.Z. and T.M. wrote the original manuscript in close discussion with T.S.B., R.P.M. and P.A.R. J.W., G.S. and D.Z. provided important data to help complete the work. M.L., C.Z., Q.Z., T.S.B., R.P.M., T.M., X.W., D.Z. and P.A.R. contributed to manuscript revision and completion.
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Extended data
Extended Data Fig. 2 Temporal variations in mercury levels and organic carbon contents within continental shelf sediment cores since industrialization.
Sediment cores used for the compilation are presented in Supplementary Table 1. Boundaries of ocean basins are according to Mayorga et al.117. Data are compared using linear regression models. Some sediment cores were excluded from the analysis because their time spans were too long to allow reliable temporal interpretation. Dot color, size, and shape represent P value, R2, and slope of regressions, respectively. The statistical results are presented in Supplementary Table 8. OC – organic carbon. Hg/OC – Hg and OC ratio. Hg~OC – linear relationship between Hg and OC.
Extended Data Fig. 5 Relationship between seafloor temperature and modeled mercury diffusion rates in continental shelf sediments.
Shade areas represent 95% confidence intervals. The solid line depicts the linear regression fit. Dot size represents shelf surface areas (1,000 km2) among coastal oceans.
Extended Data Fig. 6 Mercury burial under natural conditions and fish trawling-induced off-shelf export of mercury to the open ocean in different continental shelves worldwide.
The delineation of global coastal regions is based on Laruelle et al.86. The bars show the median values from 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulations. Error bars represent the interquartile range (percentile 25th to 75th) from the Monte Carlo simulations that incorporate both two methods for off-shelf exports.
Extended Data Fig. 7 Comparison of the performance of five models for surface mercury concentrations in global continental shelf sediments.
GAM – Generalized Additive Model; KNN – K-Nearest Neighbors; LightGBM – Light Gradient Boosting Machine; XGBoost – Extreme Gradient Boosting.
Extended Data Fig. 8 Monthly variations in sediment mercury remobilization due to climatic and anthropogenic influences in the five leading coastal oceans.
The shaded bands show interquartile ranges from 10,000 Monte Carlo iterations, with their midlines marking the median simulation values. Boundaries of coastal oceans are according to Laruelle et al.86.
Supplementary information
Supplementary Information
Supplementary Texts 1–5, Tables 1–9 and references.
Supplementary Data
This compressed file contains a comprehensive collection of supplementary data supporting the study of mercury concentrations and fluxes in coastal sediments worldwide. The datasets include: (1) Mercury Concentrations: Observational data on mercury concentrations in surface sediments (Supplementary Data 1) and sediment cores (Supplementary Data 2), including variations, uncertainties, and geographical representation. (2) Environmental Parameters: Key environmental factors influencing mercury concentration variations (Supplementary Data 3), including the data sources for model training. (3) High-Spatial-Resolution Data: Datasets with global coverage of mercury concentrations in coastal sediments (Supplementary Data 4–6), mercury burial rates (Supplementary Data 7), and natural mercury diffusion (Supplementary Data 8). (4) Mercury Perturbation: Fish trawling (Supplementary Data 9) and dredging (Supplementary Data 10)-induced mercury perturbation data at the same spatial resolution. (5) Flux and Trend Data: Global summary of mercury fluxes (Supplementary Data 11) and historical trends in coastal mercury concentrations (Supplementary Data 15, 16), with associated uncertainties from Monte Carlo simulations. (6) Historical Variations: Monthly variation data for trawling- and dredging-induced mercury perturbations (Supplementary Data 13, 14) and mercury diffusion across coastal oceans (Supplementary Data 12). (7) Seabed Lithology and Grid Data: Seafloor lithology information (Supplementary Data 17), and grid cell areas for calculations (Supplementary Data 18), useful for flux and concentration conversions.
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Liu, M., Zhou, C., Zhang, Q. et al. Fish trawling and climate perturbations threaten the largest marine mercury sink. Nat Sustain (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-025-01642-5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-025-01642-5