Abstract
Techno-economic analyses offer insights into how industrial cultivated meat (CM) production could achieve price parity with conventional meat. These analyses use scaling practices, data and facility designs for related bioprocessing fields, including large (≥20,000 l) stirred tank bioreactors and suspension-tolerant, continuously available cell lines. This approach is inconsistent with most primary CM literature, which parallels bench-scale tissue engineering. TEAs published to date demonstrate that, under the current technological paradigm, CM is unlikely to be competitive with conventional meat. Scale-up feasibility may hinge on cost-saving areas such as use of plant-based media components, food-grade aseptic conditions and extensive scaling of related supply chains. Research must address knowledge gaps including serum-free differentiation, new bioreactor designs and facility design before CM can become a viable alternative to animal-based meat production.
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution
Access options
Access Nature and 54 other Nature Portfolio journals
Get Nature+, our best-value online-access subscription
$32.99 / 30 days
cancel any time
Subscribe to this journal
Receive 12 digital issues and online access to articles
$119.00 per year
only $9.92 per issue
Buy this article
- Purchase on SpringerLink
- Instant access to the full article PDF.
USD 39.95
Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout


Similar content being viewed by others
References
Searchinger, T. et al. Creating a Sustainable Food Future (World Resources Institute, 2019); https://www.wri.org/research/creating-sustainable-food-future
IPCC Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change (eds Shukla, P. R. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2023).
Poore, J. & Nemecek, T. Reducing food’s environmental impacts through producers and consumers. Science 360, 987–992 (2018).
Kopec, K. & Burd, L. A. Pollinators in Peril: A Systematic Status Review of North American and Hawaiian Native Bees (Center for Biological Diversity, 2017); https://www.biologicaldiversity.org/campaigns/native_pollinators/pdfs/Pollinators_in_Peril.pdf
Potts, S. et al. The Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services on Pollinators, Pollination and Food Production (Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services, 2016); https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3402857
Ellis, E., Klein Goldewijk, K., Siebert, S., Lightman, D. & Ramankutty, N. Anthropogenic transformation of the biomes, 1700 to 2000. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 19, 589–606 (2010).
IPCC Special Report on Climate Change and Land (eds Shukla, P. R. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2019); https://www.ipcc.ch/srccl
Parlasca, M. & Qaim, M. Meat consumption and sustainability. Annu. Rev. Resour. Econ. 14, 17–41 (2022).
Smith, P. et al. in Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change (eds Edenhofer, O et al.) Ch. 11 (IPCC, Cambridge Univ. Press, 2014); https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg3/agriculture-forestry-and-other-land-use-afolu
Mazac, R., Järviö, N. & Tuomisto, H. L. Environmental and nutritional life cycle assessment of novel foods in meals as transformative food for the future. Sci. Total Environ. 876, 162796 (2023).
Sinke, P., Swartz, E., Sanctorum, H., van der Giesen, C. & Odegard, I. Ex-ante life cycle assessment of commercial-scale cultivated meat production in 2030. Int. J. Life Cycle Assess. 28, 234–254 (2023).
Tuomisto, H. L., Allan, S. J. & Ellis, M. J. Prospective life cycle assessment of a bioprocess design for cultured meat production in hollow fiber bioreactors. Sci. Total Environ. 851, 158051 (2022).
Bodiou, V., Moutsatsou, P. & Post, M. Microcarriers for upscaling cultured meat production. Front. Nutrition 7, 10 (2020).
Allan, S., De Bank, P. & Ellis, M. Bioprocess design considerations for cultured meat production with a focus on the expansion bioreactor. Front. Sustain. Food Syst. 3, 44 (2019).
Li, X. L. et al. A conceptual air-lift reactor design for large scale animal cell cultivation in the context of in vitro meat production. Chem. Eng. Sci. 211, 115269 (2020).
Kobos, P. et al. Techno-Economic Analysis: Best Practices and Assessment Tools (Sandia National Laboratories, 2020); https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1738878
Meat Price Spreads: Retail Prices for Beef, Pork, Poultry Cuts, Eggs, and Dairy Products (USDA Economic Research Service, 2024).
Negulescu, P. G. et al. Techno-economic modeling and assessment of cultivated meat: impact of production bioreactor scale. Biotechnol. Bioeng. 120, 1055–1067 (2023).
Humbird, D. Scale-up economics for cultured meat. Biotechnol. Bioeng. 118, 3239–3250 (2021).
Wholesale Price Update (NCBA, accessed 1 October 2024); https://www.beefitswhatsfordinner.com/resources/wholesale-price-update
Risner, D. et al. Preliminary techno-economic assessment of animal cell-based meat. Foods 10, 3 (2020).
Ashizawa, R. et al. Entomoculture: a preliminary techno-economic assessment. Foods 11, 3037 (2022).
Garrison, G. L., Biermacher, J. T. & Brorsen, B. W. How much will large-scale production of cell-cultured meat cost? J. Agric. Food Res. 10, 100358 (2022).
Vergeer, R., Sinke, P. & Odegard, I. TEA of Cultivated Meat. Future Projections for Different Scenarios (CE Delft, 2021); https://cedelft.eu/publications/tea-of-cultivated-meat
Farm Income and Wealth Statistics: Gross Capital Expenditures (USDA Economic Research Service, 2023).
Specht, L. An Analysis of Culture Medium Costs and Production Volumes for Cultivated Meat (Good Food Institute, 2020); https://gfi.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/clean-meat-production-volume-and-medium-cost.pdf
Stout, A. J. et al. A Beefy-R culture medium: replacing albumin with rapeseed protein isolates. Biomaterials 296, 122092 (2023).
Humbird, D. Scale-up economics for cultured meat: techno-economic analysis and due diligence. Preprint at https://doi.org/10.31224/osf.io/795su (2020).
Iordan, A. Rheological Properties of Biological Materials: From Cell Suspensions to Tissues (Université Joseph-Fourier, 2008).
Norris, S. C. P., Kawecki, N. S., Davis, A. R., Chen, K. K. & Rowat, A. C. Emulsion-templated microparticles with tunable stiffness and topology: applications as edible microcarriers for cultured meat. Biomaterials 287, 121669 (2022).
Hanga, M. P. et al. Scale-up of an intensified bioprocess for the expansion of bovine adipose-derived stem cells (bASCs) in stirred tank bioreactors. Biotechnol. Bioeng. 118, 3175–3186 (2021).
Hanga, M. P. et al. Bioprocess development for scalable production of cultivated meat. Biotechnol. Bioeng. 117, 3029–3039 (2020).
Zhang, J. X. et al. Hydrodynamics and mass transfer in spinner flasks: implications for large scale cultured meat production. Biochem. Eng. J. 167, 107864 (2021).
Golkar-Narenji, A. et al. Gene ontology groups and signaling pathways regulating the process of avian satellite cell differentiation. Genes 13, 242 (2022).
Pasitka, L. et al. Spontaneous immortalization of chicken fibroblasts generates stable, high-yield cell lines for serum-free production of cultured meat. Nat. Food 4, 35–50 (2023).
Choi, K.-H. et al. Optimization of culture conditions for maintaining pig muscle stem cells in vitro. Food Sci. Anim. Resour. 40, 659–667 (2020).
O’Neill, E. N. et al. Spent media analysis suggests cultivated meat media will require species and cell type optimization. npj Sci. Food. 6, 46 (2022).
Stout, A. J. et al. Simple and effective serum-free medium for sustained expansion of bovine satellite cells for cell cultured meat. Commun. Biol. 5, 466–468 (2022).
Dohmen, R. G. J. et al. Muscle-derived fibro-adipogenic progenitor cells for production of cultured bovine adipose tissue. npj Sci. Food 6, 6 (2022).
Jenik, K. et al. Characterization of a bovine intestinal myofibroblast cell line and stimulation using phytoglycogen-based nanoparticles bound to inosine monophosphate. In Vitro Cell. Dev. Biol. Anim. 57, 86–94 (2021).
Jeong, J. et al. Combination of cell signaling molecules can facilitate MYOD1-mediated myogenic transdifferentiation of pig fibroblasts. J. Anim. Sci. Biotechnol. 12, 64 (2022).
Letcher, S. M. et al. In vitro insect fat cultivation for cellular agriculture applications. ACS Biomater. Sci. Eng. 8, 3785–3796 (2022).
Park, S. et al. Effects of hypoxia on proliferation and differentiation in Belgian Blue and Hanwoo muscle satellite cells for the development of cultured meat. Biomolecules 12, 838 (2022).
Skrivergaard, S., Rasmussen, M. K., Therkildsen, M. & Young, J. F. Bovine satellite cells isolated after 2 and 5 days of tissue storage maintain the proliferative and myogenic capacity needed for cultured meat production. Int. J. Mol. Sci. 22, 8376 (2021).
Song, W.-J., Liu, P.-P., Meng, Z.-Q., Jie Ding, S.- & Xia Li, H.- N-acetylcysteine promotes the proliferation of porcine adipose-derived stem cells during in vitro long-term expansion for cultured meat production. Food Res. Int. 166, 112606 (2023).
Rubio, N. R., Fish, K. D., Trimmer, B. A. & Kaplan, D. L. In vitro insect muscle for tissue engineering applications. ACS Biomater. Sci. Eng. 5, 1071–1082 (2019).
Dossier in Support of the Safety of Good Meat Cultured Chicken as a Human Food Ingredient (FDA, 2022).
Premarket Notice for Integral Tissue Cultured Poultry Meat (FDA, 2021).
Stout, A. J. et al. Immortalized bovine satellite cells for cultured meat applications. ACS Synth. Biol. 12, 1567–1573 (2023).
Kolkmann, A. M., Post, M. J., Rutjens, M. A. M., van Essen, A. L. M. & Moutsatsou, P. Serum-free media for the growth of primary bovine myoblasts. Cytotechnology 72, 111–120 (2019).
Stout, A. J. et al. Engineered autocrine signaling eliminates muscle cell FGF2 requirements for cultured meat production. Cell Rep. Sustain. 1, 100009 (2024).
Teng, T. S., Lee, J. & Chen, W. N. Ultrafiltrated extracts of fermented okara as a possible serum alternative for cell culturing: potential in cultivated meat production. ACS Food Sci. Technol. 3, 699–709 (2023).
Dong, N. et al. Auxenochlorella pyrenoidosa extract supplementation replacing fetal bovine serum for Carassius auratus muscle cell culture under low-serum conditions. Food Res. Int. 164, 112438 (2023).
Guan, X., Yan, Q., Ma, Z. & Zhou, J. Production of mature myotubes in vitro improves the texture and protein quality of cultured pork. Food Funct. 14, 3576–3587 (2023).
Park, S. et al. Chitosan/cellulose-based porous nanofilm delivering c-phycocyanin: a novel platform for the production of cost-effective cultured meat. ACS Appl. Mater. Interf. 13, 32193–32204 (2021).
Venkatesan, M. et al. Recombinant production of growth factors for application in cell culture. iScience 25, 105054 (2022).
Okamoto, Y., Haraguchi, Y., Sawamura, N., Asahi, T. & Shimizu, T. Mammalian cell cultivation using nutrients extracted from microalgae. Biotechnol. Prog. 36, e2941 (2020).
Haraguchi, Y., Okamoto, Y. & Shimizu, T. A circular cell culture system using microalgae and mammalian myoblasts for the production of sustainable cultured meat. Arch. Microbiol. 204, 615–619 (2021).
Okamoto, Y. et al. Proliferation and differentiation of primary bovine myoblasts using Chlorella vulgaris extract for sustainable production of cultured meat. Biotechnol. Prog. 38, e3239 (2022).
Yamanaka, K., Haraguchi, Y., Takahashi, H., Kawashima, I. & Shimizu, T. Development of serum-free and grain-derived-nutrient-free medium using microalga-derived nutrients and mammalian cell-secreted growth factors for sustainable cultured meat production. Sci. Rep. 13, 498 (2023).
Lee, K. et al. Bovine fibroblast-derived extracellular matrix promotes the growth and preserves the stemness of bovine stromal cells during in vitro expansion. J. Funct. Biomater. 14, 218 (2023).
Zheng, Y.-Y., Shi, Y.-F., Zhu, H.-Z., Ding, S.-J. & Zhou, G.-H. Quality evaluation of cultured meat with plant protein scaffold. Food Res. Int. 161, 111818 (2022).
Tihanyi, B. & Nyitray, L. Recent advances in CHO cell line development for recombinant protein production. Drug Discov. Today 38, 25–34 (2020).
Messmer, T. et al. A serum-free media formulation for cultured meat production supports bovine satellite cell differentiation in the absence of serum starvation. Nat. Food 3, 74–85 (2022).
Bomkamp, C. et al. Scaffolding biomaterials for 3D cultivated meat: prospects and challenges. Adv. Sci. 9, 2102908 (2022).
Kurt, T., Hoing, T. & Oosterhuis, N. The potential application of single-use bioreactors in cultured meat production. Chem. Ing. Tech. 94, 2026–2030 (2022).
Van der Weele, C. & Tramper, J. Cultured meat: every village its own factory? Trends Biotechnol. 32, 294–296 (2014).
Andreassen, R. C. et al. Production of food-grade microcarriers based on by-products from the food industry to facilitate the expansion of bovine skeletal muscle satellite cells for cultured meat production. Biomaterials 286, 121602 (2022).
Dutta, S. D. et al. Bioengineered lab-grown meat-like constructs through 3D bioprinting of antioxidative protein hydrolysates. ACS Appl. Mater. Interf. 14, 34513–34526 (2022).
Swartz, E., Nguyen, J., Neo, T. & Lee, F. Cultivated Meat Media and Growth Factor Trends (GFI, 2020); https://gfi.org/resource/cultivated-meat-media-growth-factor-survey/#food-grade-growth-factors
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by a grant from the Bezos Earth Fund.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Peer review
Peer review information
Nature Food thanks David Humbird, Hanna Tuomisto and Shouwei Wang for their contribution to the peer review of this work.
Additional information
Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Supplementary information
Supplementary Information
Supplementary Figs. 1 and 2, Table 1 and references.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Goodwin, C.M., Aimutis, W.R. & Shirwaiker, R.A. A scoping review of cultivated meat techno-economic analyses to inform future research directions for scaled-up manufacturing. Nat Food 5, 901–910 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-024-01061-3
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Version of record:
Issue date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-024-01061-3
This article is cited by
-
Guidelines for environmental life cycle assessment of cultivated meat
The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment (2025)


