Abstract
The Yellow River Basin supports a population of 200 million people and contains 15% of arable land in China. Water scarcity in the region is being exacerbated by climate change and human activities. In this Review, we discuss anthropogenic impacts on the hydrological cycle and sediment dynamics of the Yellow River since the 1950s. The Yellow River had one of the largest sediment loads in the world, peaking at 2.1 Gt yr−1 in 1958. Such high sediment loads elevated flood risk; therefore, reservoirs, conservation and revegetation projects were implemented, reducing sediment transport by 90% since the 1980s. However, these efforts also impacted the hydrology of the Yellow River Basin, leading to an increase in evapotranspiration fluxes (1.79 mm yr−2, 1980–2020) and reduced runoff. In addition, human water use has increased by 15.8% since the 1980s. The resulting reductions in soil water storage and intensification of the vertical water cycle foreshadow potential resource crises and will potentially lead to irreversible ecosystem degradation. Predicting the outcomes of water management policies and engineering projects is essential but highly complex owing to feedback loops and interactions between human activities and hydrological changes. Addressing these challenges, which are also faced by other arid-region rivers, will require dynamic monitoring of water storage and improved understanding of human–hydrological interactions.
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution
Access options
Access Nature and 54 other Nature Portfolio journals
Get Nature+, our best-value online-access subscription
$32.99 / 30 days
cancel any time
Subscribe to this journal
Receive 12 digital issues and online access to articles
$119.00 per year
only $9.92 per issue
Buy this article
- Purchase on SpringerLink
- Instant access to full article PDF
Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout






Similar content being viewed by others
References
Basheer, M. et al. Cooperative adaptive management of the Nile river with climate and socio-economic uncertainties. Nat. Clim. Change 13, 48–57 (2023).
Zhao, G. et al. Decoupling of surface water storage from precipitation in global drylands due to anthropogenic activity. Nat. Water https://doi.org/10.1038/s44221-024-00367-7 (2025).
Abel, C. et al. The human-environment nexus and vegetation-rainfall sensitivity in tropical drylands. Nat. Sustain. 4, 25–U150 (2021).
Vörösmarty, C. J. et al. Global threats to human water security and river biodiversity. Nature 467, 555–561 (2010).
Best, J. Anthropogenic stresses on the world’s big rivers. Nat. Geosci. 12, 7–21 (2019).
Best, J. & Darby, S. E. The pace of human-induced change in large rivers: stresses, resilience, and vulnerability to extreme events. One Earth 2, 510–514 (2020).
Varis, O., Taka, M. & Kummu, M. The Planet’s stressed river basins: too much pressure or too little adaptive capacity? Earths Future 7, 1118–1135 (2019).
Li, C. et al. Drivers and impacts of changes in China’s drylands. Nat. Rev. Earth Environ. 2, 858–873 (2021).
Wang, Y., Zhao, W., Wang, S., Feng, X. & Liu, Y. Yellow river water rebalanced by human regulation. Sci. Rep. 9, 1–10 (2019).
Li, X.-L. et al. Rangeland degradation on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau: implications for rehabilitation. Land Degrad. Dev. 24, 72–80 (2013).
Feng, X. et al. Revegetation in China’s Loess Plateau is approaching sustainable water resource limits. Nat. Clim. Change 6, 1019–1022 (2016).
Cai, X. & Rosegrant, M. Optional water development strategies for the Yellow River Basin: Balancing agricultural and ecological water demands. Water Resour. Res. 40, W08S04 (2004).
Fu, B. et al. Hydrogeomorphic ecosystem responses to natural and anthropogenic changes in the Loess Plateau of China. Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci. 45, 223–243 (2017).
Wang, Y., Song, J., Zhang, X., Sun, H. & Bai, H. Coupling coordination evaluation of water-energy-food and poverty in the Yellow River Basin, China. J. Hydrol. 614, 128461 (2022).
Wang, H. et al. Stepwise decreases of the Huanghe (Yellow River) sediment load (1950–2005): impacts of climate change and human activities. Glob. Planet. Change 57, 331–354 (2007).
Wang, S. et al. Reduced sediment transport in the Yellow river due to anthropogenic changes. Nat. Geosci. 9, 38–41 (2016).
Mostern, R. & Horne, R. M. The Yellow River: a Natural and Unnatural History (Yale Univ. Press, 2021); https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctv1vbd1d8.
Chen, Y., Syvitski, J. P. M., Gao, S., Overeem, I. & Kettner, A. J. Socio-economic impacts on flooding: a 4000-year history of the Yellow river, China. AMBIO 41, 682–698 (2012).
Song, S. et al. Identifying regime transitions for water governance in the Yellow River Basin, China. Water Resour. Res. 59, e2022WR033819 (2023).
Song, S. et al. Quantifying the effects of institutional shifts on water governance in the Yellow River Basin: a social-ecological system perspective. J. Hydrol. 629, 130638 (2024).
Xu, Z., Takeuchi, K., Ishidaira, H. & Liu, C. An overview of water resources in the Yellow River Basin. Water Int. 30, 225–238 (2005).
Fu, B. et al. Mechanisms of human-natural system coupling and optimization of the Yellow River Basin. Bull. Natl Nat. Sci. Found. China 35, 504–509 (2021).
Jian, S., Wang, A., Hu, C. & Yan, D. Effect of landscape restoration on evapotranspiration and water use in the Yellow River Basin, China. Acta Geophys. 72, 341–356 (2024).
Xu, S., Yu, Z., Yang, C., Ji, X. & Zhang, K. Trends in evapotranspiration and their responses to climate change and vegetation greening over the upper reaches of the Yellow River Basin. Agric. For. Meteorol. 263, 118–129 (2018).
Ren, D. et al. Quantifying natural and anthropogenic impacts on streamflow and sediment load reduction in the upper to middle Yellow River Basin. J. Hydrol. Reg. Stud. 53, 101788 (2024).
Wang, Y., Shao, M., Zhu, Y. & Liu, Z. Impacts of land use and plant characteristics on dried soil layers in different climatic regions on the Loess Plateau of China. Agric. For. Meteorol. 151, 437–448 (2011).
Liu, Y. et al. Recent anthropogenic curtailing of Yellow river runoff and sediment load is unprecedented over the past 500 y. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 117, 18251–18257 (2020).
Wang, Y. et al. Soil moisture decline in China’s monsoon loess critical zone: more a result of land-use conversion than climate change. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 121, e2322127121 (2024).
Jiao, C., Wang, S., Song, S. & Fu, B. Long-term and seasonal variation of open-surface water bodies in the Yellow River Basin during 1990–2020. Hydrol. Process. 37, e14846 (2023).
Wang, Y. et al. Anthropogenic drought in the Yellow River Basin: multifaceted and weakening connections between meteorological and hydrological droughts. J. Hydrol. 619, 129273 (2023).
Wang-Erlandsson, L. et al. A planetary boundary for green water. Nat. Rev. Earth Environ. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-022-00287-8 (2022).
Sang, S., Li, Y., Hou, C., Zi, S. & Lin, H. The interprovincial green water flow in China and its teleconnected effects on the social economy. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 29, 67–84 (2025).
Jiang, C., Parteli, E. J. R., Xia, Q. & Shao, Y. Evaluation of precipitation reanalysis products for regional hydrological modelling in the Yellow River Basin. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 155, 2605–2626 (2024).
Iqbal, M., Wen, J., Wang, S., Tian, H. & Adnan, M. Variations of precipitation characteristics during the period 1960–2014 in the source region of the Yellow river, China. J. Arid Land 10, 388–401 (2018).
Ma, Z. et al. Status and ponder of climate and hydrology changes in the Yellow River Basin. Bull. Chin. Acad. Sci. 35, 52–60 (2020).
Tian, Q. & Yang, S. Regional climatic response to global warming: trends in temperature and precipitation in the Yellow, Yangtze and Pearl river basins since the 1950s. Quat. Int. 440, 1–11 (2017).
Yang, D., Yang, Y., Gao, G., Jianping, H. & Jiang, E. Water cycle and soil-water coupling processes in the Yellow River Basin. Bull. Natl Nat. Sci. Found. China 35, 544–551 (2021).
Liang, K., Liu, S., Bai, P. & Nie, R. The Yellow River Basin becomes wetter or drier? The case as indicated by mean precipitation and extremes during 1961–2012. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 119, 701–722 (2015).
Zhang, B., Tian, L., Yang, Y. & He, X. Revegetation does not decrease water yield in the Loess Plateau of China. Geophys. Res. Lett. 49, e2022GL098025 (2022).
Huang, Y., Cai, J., Yin, H. & Cai, M. Correlation of precipitation to temperature variation in the Huanghe river (Yellow River) basin during 1957–2006. J. Hydrol. 372, 1–8 (2009).
Lu, M., Ma, Z. & Li, M. A review on the changing water cycle of the Yellow River Basin under changes in climate, vegetation, and human water use. Trans. Atmospheric Sci. 46, 801–812 (2023).
Chen, S., Men, B., Pang, J., Bian, Z. & Wang, H. Historical and projected extreme climate changes in the upper Yellow River Basin, China. Sci. Rep. 15, 19061 (2025).
Li, C., Lu, T., Fu, B., Wang, S. & Holden, J. Sustainable city development challenged by extreme weather in a warming world. Geogr. Sustain. 3, 114–118 (2022).
Liu, C. & Zheng, H. Trend analysis of hydrological components in the Yellow River Basin. J. Nat. Resour. 18, 129–135 (2003).
Oki, T. & Kanae, S. Global hydrological cycles and world water resources. Science 313, 1068–1072 (2006).
Jiang, Z. et al. Revealing the spatio-temporal variability of evapotranspiration and its components based on an improved Shuttleworth-Wallace model in the Yellow River Basin. J. Environ. Manage. 262, 110310 (2020).
Li, C., Yuan, X., Jiao, Y., Ji, P. & Huang, Z. High-resolution land surface modeling of the irrigation effects on evapotranspiration over the Yellow River Basin. J. Hydrol. 633, 130986 (2024).
Li, H., Ye, A., Zhang, Y. & Zhao, W. InterComparison and evaluation of multisource soil moisture products in China. Earth Space Sci. 8, e2021EA001845 (2021).
Lou, D. et al. Changes of soil moisture from multiple sources during 1988–2010 in the Yellow River Basin, China. Adv. Meteorol. 2018, 1950529 (2018).
Jia, X., Shao, M., Zhu, Y. & Luo, Y. Soil moisture decline due to afforestation across the Loess Plateau, China. J. Hydrol. 546, 113–122 (2017).
Wang, Q. et al. Will large-scale forestation lead to a soil water deficit crisis in China’s drylands? Sci. Bull. 69, 1506–1514 (2024).
Zhao, Z. et al. Impacts of the grain for green project on soil moisture in the Yellow River Basin, China. Hydrol. Process. 39, e70112 (2025).
Zhang, K., Xie, X., Zhu, B., Meng, S. & Yao, Y. Unexpected groundwater recovery with decreasing agricultural irrigation in the Yellow River Basin. Agric. Water Manag. 213, 858–867 (2019).
Lu, M. et al. Lag response of groundwater to changes in water and sediment characteristics in the lower Yellow river, China. J. Hydrol. 612, 128048 (2022).
Zhang, D., Liu, X., Simmons, C. T., Zhang, L. & Zhang, Q. Changes in groundwater levels across China from 2005 to 2016. J. Hydrol. 623, 129781 (2023).
Lv, M., Ma, Z., Li, M. & Zheng, Z. Quantitative analysis of terrestrial water storage changes under the grain for green program in the Yellow River Basin. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 124, 1336–1351 (2019).
Zheng, H., Zhang, L., Liu, C., Shao, Q. & Fukushima, Y. Changes in stream flow regime in headwater catchments of the Yellow River Basin since the 1950s. Hydrol. Process. 21, 886–893 (2007).
Hu, Y., Maskey, S., Uhlenbrook, S. & Zhao, H. Streamflow trends and climate linkages in the source region of the Yellow river, China. Hydrol. Process. 25, 3399–3411 (2011).
Li, L., Shen, H., Dai, S., Xiao, J. & Shi, X. Response of runoff to climate change and its future tendency in the source region of Yellow river. J. Geogr. Sci. 22, 431–440 (2012).
Guo, B., Niu, Y., Mantravadi, V. S., Zhang, L. & Liu, G. The variation of rainfall runoff after vegetation restoration in upper reaches of the Yellow river by the remote sensing technology. Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res. 28, 50707–50717 (2021).
Ni, Y. et al. Intra-annual variation in the attribution of runoff evolution in the Yellow river source area. CATENA 225, 107032 (2023).
Guo, Y. et al. Warming leads to both earlier and later snowmelt floods over the past 70 years. Nat. Commun. 16, 3663 (2025).
Han, J. et al. Streamflow seasonality in a snow-dwindling world. Nature 629, 1075–1081 (2024).
Yao, T. et al. The imbalance of the Asian water tower. Nat. Rev. Earth Environ. 3, 618–632 (2022).
Han, S. et al. Groundwater resource and eco-environmental problem of the Yellow River Basin. Geol. China 48, 1001–1019 (2021).
Wang, H. & Hu, P. Key issues of ecological conservation in the Yellow River Basin from a water cycle perspective. J. Hydraul. Eng. 51, 1009–1014 (2020).
Ran, L. & Lu, X. X. Delineation of reservoirs using remote sensing and their storage estimate: an example of the Yellow River Basin, China. Hydrol. Process. 26, 1215–1229 (2012).
Chen, Y. et al. Monthly monitoring of inundated areas and water storage dynamics in China’s large reservoirs using multisource remote sensing. Water Resour. Res. 60, e2023WR036450 (2024).
Wen, S. et al. Attribution of streamflow changes during 1961–2019 in the upper Yangtze and the upper Yellow River Basins. Clim. Change 177, 60 (2024).
Wu, X. et al. Evolution and effects of the social-ecological system over a millennium in China’s Loess Plateau. Sci. Adv. 6, eabc0276 (2020).
Luan, J. et al. Estimating hydrological consequences of vegetation greening. J. Hydrol. 611, 128018 (2022).
Liu, C. et al. Detection of vegetation coverage changes in the Yellow River Basin from 2003 to 2020. Ecol. Indic. 138, 108818 (2022).
Yang, L. et al. Runoff changes in the major river basins of China and their responses to potential driving forces. J. Hydrol. 607, 127536 (2022).
Zhang, B., Tian, L., Zhao, X. & Wu, P. Feedbacks between vegetation restoration and local precipitation over the Loess Plateau in China. Sci. China Earth Sci. 64, 920–931 (2021).
Cao, M. et al. Revegetation impacts on moisture recycling and precipitation trends in the Chinese Loess Plateau. Water Resour. Res. 60, e2024WR038199 (2024).
Song, S. et al. Sediment transport under increasing anthropogenic stress: regime shifts within the Yellow River, China. Ambio 49, 2015–2025 (2020).
Ren, M. Sediment discharge of the Yellow River, China: past, present and future — a synthesis. Acta Oceanol. Sin. 34, 1–8 (2015).
Kong, D. et al. The hydro-environmental response on the lower Yellow River to the water–sediment regulation scheme. Ecol. Eng. 79, 69–79 (2015).
Peng, J., Chen, S. & Dong, P. Temporal variation of sediment load in the Yellow River basin, China, and its impacts on the lower reaches and the river delta. CATENA 83, 135–147 (2010).
Xu, J. Sedimentation rates in the lower Yellow River over the past 2300 years as influenced by human activities and climate change. Hydrol. Process. 17, 3359–3371 (2003).
Milliman, J. D. & Meade, R. H. World-wide delivery of river sediment to the oceans. J. Geol. 91, 1–21 (1983).
Syvitski, J. P. M., Vörösmarty, C. J., Kettner, A. J. & Green, P. Impact of humans on the flux of terrestrial sediment to the global coastal ocean. Science 308, 376–380 (2005).
Yu, Y. et al. New discharge regime of the Huanghe (Yellow River): causes and implications. Cont. Shelf Res. 69, 62–72 (2013).
Wang, H. et al. Recent changes in sediment delivery by the Huanghe (Yellow River) to the sea: causes and environmental implications in its estuary. J. Hydrol. 391, 302–313 (2010).
Pietz, D. A. The Yellow River: the Problem of Water in Modern China (Havard Univ. Press, 2015).
Chu, Z. The dramatic changes and anthropogenic causes of erosion and deposition in the lower Yellow (Huanghe) River since 1952. Geomorphology 216, 171–179 (2014).
Yu, S.-Y. et al. Human disturbances dominated the unprecedentedly high frequency of Yellow River flood over the last millennium. Sci. Adv. 9, eadf8576 (2023).
Chen, Y. Flood dynamics of the lower Yellow River over the last 3000 years: characteristics and implications for geoarchaeology. Quat. Int. 521, 147–157 (2019).
Jiao, C. et al. River stabilization reshaped human-nature interactions in the lower Yellow River floodplain. J. Environ. Manage. 371, 122957 (2024).
Xia, J., Li, X., Zhang, X. & Li, T. Recent variation in reach-scale bankfull discharge in the Lower Yellow River. Earth Surf. Process. Landf. 39, 723–734 (2014).
Kong, D., Latrubesse, E. M., Miao, C. & Zhou, R. Morphological response of the lower Yellow River to the operation of Xiaolangdi Dam, China. Geomorphology 350, 106931 (2020).
Xu, X., Chen, Z. & Feng, Z. From natural driving to artificial intervention: changes of the Yellow River estuary and delta development. Ocean Coast. Manag. 174, 63–70 (2019).
Saito, Y., Yang, Z. & Hori, K. The Huanghe (Yellow River) and Changjiang (Yangtze River) deltas: a review on their characteristics, evolution and sediment discharge during the Holocene. Geomorphology 41, 219–231 (2001).
Cui, B., Yang, Q., Yang, Z. & Zhang, K. Evaluating the ecological performance of wetland restoration in the Yellow River delta, China. Ecol. Eng. 35, 1090–1103 (2009).
Bi, N. et al. Phase change in evolution of the modern Huanghe (Yellow River) delta: process, pattern, and mechanisms. Mar. Geol. 437, 106516 (2021).
Wu, X., Feng, X., Fu, B., Yin, S. & He, C. Managing erosion and deposition to stabilize a silt-laden river. Sci. Total Environ. 881, 163444 (2023).
Li, J., Xia, J. & Ji, Q. Rapid and long-distance channel incision in the Lower Yellow River owing to upstream damming. CATENA 196, 104943 (2021).
Cheng, Y., Xia, J., Zhou, M., Deng, S. & Li, Z. Adjustment of flood discharge capacity with varying boundary conditions in a braided reach of the lower Yellow River. J. Geogr. Sci. 31, 1615–1632 (2021).
Miao, C., Kong, D., Wu, J. & Duan, Q. Functional degradation of the water–sediment regulation scheme in the lower Yellow River: spatial and temporal analyses. Sci. Total Environ. 551–552, 16–22 (2016).
Wu, X. et al. Ecological restoration in the Yellow River Basin enhances hydropower potential. Nat. Commun. 16, 2566 (2025).
Kong, D. et al. Environmental impact assessments of the Xiaolangdi reservoir on the most hyperconcentrated laden river, Yellow River, China. Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res. 24, 4337–4351 (2017).
Ma, H. et al. Amplification of downstream flood stage due to damming of fine-grained rivers. Nat. Commun. 13, 3054 (2022).
Kong, D., Miao, C., Zheng, H. & Gou, J. Dynamic evolution characteristics of the Yellow River delta in response to estuary diversion and a water–sediment regulation scheme. J. Hydrol. 627, 130447 (2023).
Fu, Y., Chen, S., Ji, H., Fan, Y. & Li, P. The modern Yellow River delta in transition: causes and implications. Mar. Geol. 436, 106476 (2021).
Wang, H. et al. Impacts of the dam-orientated water-sediment regulation scheme on the lower reaches and delta of the Yellow River (Huanghe): a review. Glob. Planet. Change 157, 93–113 (2017).
Syvitski, J. P. M. et al. Sinking deltas due to human activities. Nat. Geosci. 2, 681–686 (2009).
Ren, C. et al. Ageing threatens sustainability of smallholder farming in China. Nature 616, 96–103 (2023).
Yang, D. et al. How does urbanization process affect ecological landscape pattern? An empirical analysis based on scale effects. Ecol. Indic. 154, 110921 (2023).
Greve, P. et al. Global assessment of water challenges under uncertainty in water scarcity projections. Nat. Sustain. 1, 486–494 (2018).
Veldkamp, T. I. E. et al. Water scarcity hotspots travel downstream due to human interventions in the 20th and 21st century. Nat. Commun. 8, 15697 (2017).
Zhang, W., Liang, W., Gao, X., Li, J. & Zhao, X. Trajectory in water scarcity and potential water savings benefits in the Yellow River basin. J. Hydrol. 633, 130998 (2024).
Yin, Z. et al. Irrigation, damming, and streamflow fluctuations of the Yellow River. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 25, 1133–1150 (2021).
Yang, D. et al. Analysis of water resources variability in the Yellow River of China during the last half century using historical data. Water Resour. Res. 40, W06502 (2004).
Cong, Z., Yang, D., Gao, B., Yang, H. & Hu, H. Hydrological trend analysis in the Yellow River basin using a distributed hydrological model. Water Resour. Res. 45, W00A13 (2009).
Singh, D., Xu, M., Singh, N. & Lei, F. Perspectives on emerging pressures and their integrated impact on large river systems: an insight from the Yellow River basin. J. Environ. Manage. 298, 113423 (2021).
Zhen, N., Rutherfurd, I. & Webber, M. Ecological water, a new focus of China’s water management. Sci. Total Environ. 879, 163001 (2023).
Notice of the Water Allocation Scheme (1998) in the Yellow River http://www.yrcc.gov.cn/zwzc/zcfg/202312/t20231220_374740.html (Ministry of Water Resources, 2009).
Liu, Y., Zheng, H. & Zhao, J. Reframing water demand management: a new co-governance framework coupling supply-side and demand-side solutions toward sustainability. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 28, 2223–2238 (2024).
Long, D. et al. South-to-north water diversion stabilizing Beijing’s groundwater levels. Nat. Commun. 11, 3665 (2020).
Liu, J. et al. Water scarcity assessments in the past, present, and future. Earths Future 5, 545–559 (2017).
Guo, L., Song, X. & Wang, Q. Simulation of population size and economic scale supportable by the Yellow River’s available freshwater in 2030 under multiple scenarios. Humanit. Soc. Sci. Commun. 11, 1–8 (2024).
Yan, X. et al. Human deforestation outweighed climate as factors affecting Yellow River floods and erosion on the Chinese Loess Plateau since the 10th century. Quat. Sci. Rev. 295, 107796 (2022).
Bryan, B. A. et al. China’s response to a national land-system sustainability emergency. Nature 559, 193–204 (2018).
Yan, T., Chen, X. & Han, G. A historical examination on land desertification in North China. Chin. Geogr. Sci. 11, 115–119 (2001).
Qiu, M., Liu, Y., Tian, F., Wang, S. & Fu, B. Marsh decrease was much faster than the water increase among the Yellow River Source wetlands during 1986–2022. Sci. Total Environ. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174377 (2024).
Yang, J., Ding, Y. & Chen, R. Spatial and temporal of variations of alpine vegetation cover in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers of the Tibetan Plateau from 1982 to 2001. Environ. Geol. 50, 313–322 (2006).
Sha, A. et al. Accelerated river meander migration on the Tibetan Plateau caused by permafrost thaw. Geophys. Res. Lett. 52, e2024GL111536 (2025).
Gao, H., Wang, M. & Hao, X. Check dams in the Yellow River basin: sediment reduction efficiency and future development. Land Degrad. Dev. 35, 4042–4054 (2024).
Xu, X., Zhang, H. & Zhang, O. Development of check-dam systems in gullies on the Loess Plateau, China. Environ. Sci. Policy 7, 79–86 (2004).
Zhao, G., Mu, X., Wen, Z., Wang, F. & Gao, P. Soil erosion, conservation, and eco-environment changes in the Loess Plateau of China. Land Degrad. Dev. 24, 499–510 (2013).
Soil and Water Conservation Bulletin in Yellow River Basin (Ministry of Water Resources,2023); http://yrcc.gov.cn/gzfw/stbcgb/index.html.
Liang, W. et al. Quantifying the impacts of climate change and ecological restoration on streamflow changes based on a Budyko hydrological model in China’s Loess Plateau. Water Resour. Res. 51, 6500–6519 (2015).
China’s Three-North Shelterbelt Forest Program — a Landmark in Desertification Control. The State Council of the People’s Republic of China https://english.www.gov.cn/news/202406/06/content_WS6661298ac6d0868f4e8e7dd0.html (2024).
Notice of the National Forestry Administration on Issuing the ‘Management Measures for the Natural Forest Protection Program’ and the ‘Verification and Inspection Measures for the Natural Forest Protection Program’. National Forestry Administration http://www.hljcourt.gov.cn/lawdb/show.php?fid=37295 (2001).
Liu, J., Li, S., Ouyang, Z., Tam, C. & Chen, X. Ecological and socioeconomic effects of China’s policies for ecosystem services. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 105, 9477–9482 (2008).
Regulations on grain for Green Program. State Council of the People’s Republic of China https://www.gov.cn/gongbao/content/2003/content_62531.htm (2002).
Fu, F. et al. Locating hydrologically unsustainable areas for supporting ecological restoration in China’s drylands. Earths Future 12, e2023EF004216 (2024).
Wang, K. et al. Impacts of vegetation restoration on soil erosion in the Yellow River Basin, China. CATENA 234, 107547 (2024).
Chen, Q. et al. A review of land use change and its influence in the source region of the Yellow River. Resour. Sci. 42, 446–459 (2020).
Liu, X. et al. Spatiotemporal changes in vegetation coverage and its driving factors in the three-river headwaters region during 2000–2011. J. Geogr. Sci. 24, 288–302 (2014).
Chen, Y. et al. Balancing green and grain trade. Nat. Geosci. 8, 739–741 (2015).
Chen, Y. et al. 65% cover is the sustainable vegetation threshold on the Loess Plateau. Environ. Sci. Ecotechnol. 22, 100442 (2024).
Ringler, C. et al. Yellow River basin: living with scarcity. Water Int. 35, 681–701 (2010).
Wang, H. & Ma, T. Optimal water resource allocation considering virtual water trade in the Yellow River Basin. Sci. Rep. 14, 79 (2024).
Feng, K., Siu, Y. L., Guan, D. & Hubacek, K. Assessing regional virtual water flows and water footprints in the Yellow River Basin, China: a consumption based approach. Appl. Geogr. 32, 691–701 (2012).
Wei, J. et al. Estimation and influencing factors of agricultural water efficiency in the Yellow River basin, China. J. Clean. Prod. 308, 127249 (2021).
Wang, J. & Tian, C. The water-carbon constraints’ impact on the development of coal power industry in the Yellow River Basin. Environ. Res. Commun. 4, 075010 (2022).
Notice of the Water Allocation Scheme (1987) in the Yellow River. Ministry of Water Resources of the People’s Republic of China https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/zhengceku/2011-03/30/content_3138.htm (1987).
Lee Kuan Yew Water Prize 2010 Citation for Yellow River Conservancy Commission. Singapore International Water Week https://www.siww.com.sg/landing-page/lee-kuan-yew-water-prize-laureates/yellow-river-conservancy-commission (2010).
Yang, T. et al. A spatial assessment of hydrologic alteration caused by dam construction in the middle and lower Yellow River, China. Hydrol. Process. 22, 3829–3843 (2008).
Kong, D. et al. Xiaolangdi Dam: a valve for streamflow extremes on the lower Yellow River. J. Hydrol. 606, 127426 (2022).
Xia, C. & Pahl-Wostl, C. The development of water allocation management in the Yellow River Basin. Water Resour. Manag. 26, 3395–3414 (2012).
Wang, H. R., Dong, Y. Y., Wang, Y. & Liu, Q. Water right institution and strategies of the Yellow River Valley. Water Resour. Manag. 22, 1499–1519 (2008).
Fang, L. & Zhang, L. Does the trading of water rights encourage technology improvement and agricultural water conservation? Agric. Water Manag. 233, 106097 (2020).
Notice of the Integrated Fertilizers and Water Use management in Agriculture (2016–2020). Ministry of Agriculture of the People’s Republic of China https://www.moa.gov.cn/nybgb/2016/diwuqi/201711/t20171127_5920793.htm (2017).
The South-to-North Water Diversion Project. Ministry of Water Resources of the People’s Republic of China http://www.mwr.gov.cn/english/Projects/MagnificentProjects/202311/t20231102_1690665.html (2019).
Notice of the Strict Water Management. The State Council of the People’s Republic of China http://www.gov.cn/zwgk/2012-02/16/content_2067664.htm (2012).
Yellow River Protection Law of the People’s Republic of China. National People’s Congress http://en.npc.gov.cn.cdurl.cn/2022-10/30/c_954870.htm (2022).
Huggins, X. et al. Hotspots for social and ecological impacts from freshwater stress and storage loss. Nat. Commun. 13, 439 (2022).
Kwakkel, J. H., Walker, W. E. & Haasnoot, M. Coping with the wickedness of public policy problems: approaches for decision making under deep uncertainty. J. Water Resour. Plan. Manag. 142, 01816001 (2016).
Wu, W. et al. Beyond engineering: a review of reservoir management through the lens of wickedness, competing objectives and uncertainty. Environ. Model. Softw. 167, 105777 (2023).
Cumming, G. S. & von Cramon-Taubadel, S. Linking economic growth pathways and environmental sustainability by understanding development as alternate social–ecological regimes. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 115, 9533–9538 (2018).
Di Baldassarre, G. et al. Water shortages worsened by reservoir effects. Nat. Sustain. 1, 617–622 (2018).
Gohari, A. et al. Water transfer as a solution to water shortage: a fix that can backfire. J. Hydrol. 491, 23–39 (2013).
Bouckaert, F. W., Wei, Y., Pittock, J., Vasconcelos, V. & Ison, R. River basin governance enabling pathways for sustainable management: a comparative study between Australia, Brazil, China and France. Ambio 51, 1871–1888 (2022).
Wang, Z. & Zheng, Z. Things and current significance of the Yellow River Water allocation scheme in 1987. Yellow River 41, 109–127 (2019).
Loch, A., Adamson, D. & Dumbrell, N. P. The fifth stage in water management: policy lessons for water governance. Water Resour. Res. 56, e2019WR026714 (2020).
Zhang, Y., Yang, P., Liu, X. & Adeloye, A. J. Simulation and optimization coupling model for soil salinization and waterlogging control in the Urad irrigation area, North China. J. Hydrol. 607, 127408 (2022).
Kandasamy, J. et al. Socio-hydrologic drivers of the pendulum swing between agricultural development and environmental health: a case study from Murrumbidgee River basin, Australia. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 18, 1027–1041 (2014).
Ning, T., Li, Z. & Liu, W. Separating the impacts of climate change and land surface alteration on runoff reduction in the Jing River catchment of China. CATENA 147, 80–86 (2016).
Liu, J., Zhang, Q., Singh, V. P. & Shi, P. Contribution of multiple climatic variables and human activities to streamflow changes across China. J. Hydrol. 545, 145–162 (2017).
Ge, J., Pitman, A. J., Guo, W., Zan, B. & Fu, C. Impact of revegetation of the Loess Plateau of China on the regional growing season water balance. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 24, 515–533 (2020).
Wang, X. et al. Gainers and losers of surface and terrestrial water resources in China during 1989–2016. Nat. Commun. 11, 3471 (2020).
Li, B.-B. et al. Deep soil moisture limits the sustainable vegetation restoration in arid and semi-arid Loess Plateau. Geoderma 399, 115122 (2021).
Zhao, G. et al. Changing trends and regime shift of streamflow in the Yellow River basin. Stoch. Environ. Res. Risk Assess. 29, 1331–1343 (2015).
Piao, S. et al. The impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China. Nature 467, 43–51 (2010).
Moudi, M., Xu, Z., Yao, L. & Yuan, H. Dynamic optimization model for improving Urban water supply system fragility with uncertain streamflow. Water Resour. Manag. 34, 1465–1477 (2020).
Liu, J. et al. Timing the first emergence and disappearance of global water scarcity. Nat. Commun. 15, 7129 (2024).
Tyulin, A. E., Chursin, A. A., Ragulina, J. V., Akberdina, V. V. & Yudin, A. V. The development of Kondratieff’s theory of long waves: the place of the AI economy humanization in the ‘competencies-innovations-markets’ model. Humanit. Soc. Sci. Commun. 10, 1–13 (2023).
Zhu, Y., Zhang, Y., Zhu, X., Luo, Y. & Tu, Z. The evolution of animal-based dietary structure has contributed to the increase of healthcare expenditures in China. Humanit. Soc. Sci. Commun. 11, 1–14 (2024).
Yin, Y., Tang, Q., Liu, X. & Zhang, X. Water scarcity under various socio-economic pathways and its potential effects on food production in the Yellow River basin. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 21, 791–804 (2016).
Te Wierik, S. A. et al. Critical importance of tree and non-tree vegetation for African precipitation. Geophys. Res. Lett. 51, e2023GL103274 (2024).
Qin, Y., Wang, D., Ziegler, A. D., Fu, B. & Zeng, Z. Impact of Amazonian deforestation on precipitation reverses between seasons. Nature 639, 102–108 (2025).
Zemp, D. C. et al. Self-amplified Amazon forest loss due to vegetation-atmosphere feedbacks. Nat. Commun. 8, 14681 (2017).
van de Vijsel, R. C., Scheffer, M. & Hoitink, A. J. F. Tipping points in river deltas. Nat. Rev. Earth Environ. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00610-5 (2024).
Binh, D. V. et al. Long-term alterations of flow regimes of the Mekong River and adaptation strategies for the Vietnamese Mekong delta. J. Hydrol. Reg. Stud. 32, 100742 (2020).
Cox, J. R., Leuven, J. R. F. W., Pierik, H. J., van Egmond, M. & Kleinhans, M. G. Sediment deficit and morphological change of the Rhine–Meuse river mouth attributed to multi-millennial anthropogenic impacts. Cont. Shelf Res. 244, 104766 (2022).
Dai, Z., Liu, J. T., Wei, W. & Chen, J. Detection of the three Gorges Dam influence on the Changjiang (Yangtze River) submerged delta. Sci. Rep. 4, 6600 (2014).
Yu, Y. et al. Transboundary cooperation in infrastructure operation generates economic and environmental co-benefits in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin. Nat. Water https://doi.org/10.1038/s44221-024-00246-1 (2024).
Grafton, R. Q. et al. Global insights into water resources, climate change and governance. Nat. Clim. Change 3, 315–321 (2013).
Migliavacca, M. et al. The three major axes of terrestrial ecosystem function. Nature 598, 468–472 (2021).
Bassani, F., Fatichi, S., Rinaldo, A. & Bonetti, S. Toward a metabolic theory of catchments: scaling of water and carbon fluxes with size. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 121, e2410736121 (2024).
Zhao, M. et al. Ecological restoration impact on total terrestrial water storage. Nat. Sustain. 4, 56–62 (2021).
Koldasbayeva, D. et al. Challenges in data-driven geospatial modeling for environmental research and practice. Nat. Commun. 15, 10700 (2024).
Razavi, S. et al. Convergent and transdisciplinary integration: on the future of integrated modeling of human-water systems. Water Resour. Res. 61, e2024WR038088 (2025).
Lubell, M. & Morrison, T. H. Institutional navigation for polycentric sustainability governance. Nat. Sustain. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-021-00707-5 (2021).
Xu, Y. et al. A daily temperature dataset over China and its application in validating a RCM simulation. Adv. Atmospheric Sci. 26, 763–772 (2009).
Martens, B. et al. GLEAM v3: satellite-based land evaporation and root-zone soil moisture. Geosci. Model Dev. 10, 1903–1925 (2017).
Hersbach, H. et al. The ERA5 global reanalysis. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 146, 1999–2049 (2020).
Tuinenburg, O. A., Theeuwen, J. J. E. & Staal, A. High-resolution global atmospheric moisture connections from evaporation to precipitation. Earth Syst. Sci. Data 12, 3177–3188 (2020).
Wu, J. & Gao, X. A gridded daily observation dataset over China region and comparison with the other datasets. Chin. J. Geophys. 56, 1102–1111 (2013).
Han, J. et al. A new daily gridded precipitation dataset for the Chinese mainland based on gauge observations. Earth Syst. Sci. Data 15, 3147–3161 (2023).
He, J. et al. The first high-resolution meteorological forcing dataset for land process studies over China. Sci. Data 7, 25 (2020).
Miralles, D. G. et al. Global land-surface evaporation estimated from satellite-based observations. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 15, 453–469 (2011).
Running, S., Mu, Q. & Zhao, M. MOD16A2 MODIS/Terra net evapotranspiration 8-day l4 global 500m SIN grid V006. NASA Land Processes Distributed Active Archive Center https://doi.org/10.5067/MODIS/MOD16A2.006 (2017).
Elnashar, A., Wang, L., Wu, B., Zhu, W. & Zeng, H. Synthesis of Global Actual Evapotranspiration from 1982 to 2019. Earth Syst. Sci. Data 13, 447–480 (2021).
Entekhabi, D. et al. The soil moisture active passive (SMAP) mission. Proc. IEEE 98, 704–716 (2010).
Rodell, M. et al. The global land data assimilation system. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 85, 381–394 (2004).
Kong, D. et al. Evolution of the Yellow River Delta and its relationship with runoff and sediment load from 1983 to 2011. J. Hydrol. 520, 157–167 (2015).
Chu, Z. X., Sun, X. G., Zhai, S. K. & Xu, K. H. Changing pattern of accretion/erosion of the modern Yellow River (Huanghe) subaerial delta, China: based on remote sensing images. Mar. Geol. 227, 13–30 (2006).
Zhou, F. et al. Deceleration of China’s human water use and its key drivers. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 117, 7702–7711 (2020).
Klein Goldewijk, K. History database of the global environment 3.3. https://public.yoda.uu.nl/geo/UU01/94FNH0.html (2024).
Cao, S. et al. Spatiotemporally consistent global dataset of the GIMMS leaf area index (GIMMS LAI4g) from 1982 to 2020. Earth Syst. Sci. Data 15, 4877–4899 (2023).
Yang, J. & Huang, X. The 30m annual land cover dataset and its dynamics in China from 1990 to 2019. Earth Syst. Sci. Data 13, 3907–3925 (2021).
Acknowledgements
S.W. acknowledges support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant nos. 42041007 and U2243601). S.S. was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42401126). X.W. was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42201306). B.F. is grateful for the 111 Project of China (B23027) and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities. P.R. and S.S. thank the Max Planck Society for funding. J.B. is grateful for support through the Jack and Richard Threet Chair in Sedimentary Geology at Illinois.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
S.W., S.S. and B.F. formulated the review and identified the themes to be covered. S.S., H.Z., L.Y. and C.J. drafted the figures and wrote the first draft of the manuscript. P.R. helped structure and revise the manuscript; J.B., X.W., C.L. and W.Z. revised the manuscript and provided extensive comments. All authors made substantial contributions to the discussion of content.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Peer review
Peer review information
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment thanks Jianhua Ping, Shimin Tian, Jana Cox and the other, anonymous, reviewer for their contribution to the peer review of this work.
Additional information
Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Supplementary information
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Wang, S., Song, S., Zhang, H. et al. Anthropogenic impacts on the Yellow River Basin. Nat Rev Earth Environ 6, 656–671 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-025-00718-2
Accepted:
Published:
Issue date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-025-00718-2