Table 1 Descriptive statistics for reserve/production ratio data for a selected range of commodities27,28,29 from 1956 to 2018 and from 1987 to 2018 (with continuous data available for the latter period).
Commodity | All data | 1987–2018 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Slope | R2 | Mean | STDEV | Trend | Slope | R2 | Mean | STDEV | Trend | |
Antimony | −0.97 | −0.76 | 36.9 | 24.1 | Null | −1.97 | −0.84 | 26.2 | 21.9 | D |
Bauxite | −0.72 | −0.25 | 168 | 57.3 | Null | −4.80 | −0.97 | 159 | 46.6 | D |
Bismuth | 0.62 | 0.66 | 32.7 | 16.2 | Null | 0.41 | 0.25 | 38.6 | 14.5 | Null |
Cadmium | −0.17 | −0.26 | 31.6 | 11.9 | Null | −0.01 | −0.03 | 27.8 | 2.98 | Null |
Chromium | −33.2 | −0.90 | 790 | 659 | D | −19.8 | −0.52 | 349 | 322 | D |
Cobalt | 0.03 | 0.01 | 117 | 41.9 | Null | −3.14 | −0.69 | 125 | 42.5 | D |
Copper | −0.27 | −0.52 | 40.5 | 10.1 | Null | 0.14 | 0.27 | 34.3 | 4.83 | Null |
Gold | −0.22 | −0.80 | 21.8 | 5.05 | Null | −0.12 | −0.61 | 19.0 | 1.85 | Null |
Ilmenite | −2.89 | −0.51 | 143 | 111 | D | 2.55 | 0.80 | 85.7 | 29.7 | I |
Indium | −0.88 | −0.89 | 16.9 | 10.5 | Null | −0.70 | −0.69 | 12.3 | 6.28 | Null |
Iron Ore | −3.36 | −0.68 | 184 | 96.8 | D | −3.48 | −0.94 | 123 | 34.7 | D |
Lead | −0.07 | −0.19 | 22.2 | 6.8 | Null | −0.15 | −0.67 | 20.4 | 2.05 | Null |
Lithium | 4.08 | 0.28 | 292 | 107 | I | 4.08 | 0.28 | 292 | 107 | I |
Manganese | −5.22 | −0.55 | 138 | 170 | D | −2.74 | −0.86 | 65.8 | 29.9 | D |
Molybdenum | −0.46 | −0.42 | 54.7 | 21.0 | Null | −0.02 | −0.03 | 47.1 | 8.03 | Null |
Nickel | −1.81 | −0.81 | 70.0 | 43.9 | D | −0.55 | −0.71 | 42.2 | 7.25 | Null |
Phosphate | −12.9 | −0.69 | 358 | 362 | D | 7.90 | 0.79 | 152 | 94.4 | I |
PGE | 2.18 | 0.71 | 131 | 59.6 | I | −2.33 | −0.84 | 170 | 26.1 | D |
Rare earths | 10.0 | 0.28 | 977 | 488 | I | −21.1 | −0.48 | 1123 | 409 | D |
Rhenium | −9.84 | −0.76 | 131 | 165 | D | −1.71 | −0.82 | 68.7 | 19.7 | D |
Rutile | 0.48 | 0.11 | 97.9 | 82.3 | Null | −3.76 | −0.73 | 109.2 | 48.5 | D |
Silver | 0.01 | 0.05 | 17.7 | 3.48 | Null | 0.10 | 0.30 | 17.7 | 3.08 | Null |
Tantalum | −0.99 | −0.31 | 76.8 | 42.9 | Null | 1.47 | 0.41 | 64.6 | 33.5 | I |
Tellurium | −5.08 | −0.70 | 216 | 92.0 | D | −7.07 | −0.82 | 196 | 77.2 | D |
Tin | −0.13 | −0.31 | 26.6 | 8.50 | Null | −0.54 | −0.67 | 24.9 | 7.55 | Null |
Tungsten | −0.54 | −0.66 | 56.5 | 16.0 | Null | −0.69 | −0.70 | 49.7 | 9.25 | Null |
Vanadium | −1.66 | −0.33 | 248 | 73.0 | D | 0.06 | 0.01 | 231 | 64.7 | Null |
Zinc | −0.06 | −0.42 | 21.0 | 2.98 | Null | −0.13 | −0.48 | 20.2 | 2.53 | Null |
Zirconium | −1.68 | −0.73 | 67.8 | 44.3 | D | 0.13 | 0.11 | 43.2 | 10.9 | Null |