Table 1 Comparison of annual rainfall change estimates due to tropical forest loss

From: Quantifying tropical forest rainfall generation

Reference

Data source

Geographical area

Annual rainfall change due to deforestation

(mm %−1)

Annual rainfall produced from forests (L/m2)

This study

CMIP6 LUMIP runs

(n = 11)

Pantropical

–2.0 ± 1.5

200 ± 150

Smith et al.7

CMIP6 historical runs

(n = 24)

Pantropical

–2.16 ± 0.84

216 ± 84

Smith et al.8

Satellite observations

(n = 10)

Pantropical

–3.0 ± 1.2

300 ± 120

MEAN

–2.4 ± 0.6

240 ± 60

This study

CMIP6 LUMIP runs

(n = 11)

Amazon

–3.1 ± 2.1

310 ± 210

Spracklen and Garcia-Carreras9

Regional and global climate models

(n = 96)

Amazon

–3.7 ± 3.0

370 ± 300

Smith et al.8

Satellite observations

(n = 10)

Amazon

–2.76 ± 1.4

276 ± 140

MEAN

–3.0 ± 1.1

300 ± 110

  1. Model-based estimates are based on global Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) historical simulations, CMIP6 Land Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) simulations, and a previous synthesis of global and regional models11. Mean values calculated using the inverse-variance weighted mean method.