Table 2 Prognostic value of patient and tumor characteristics for PFS and OS

From: Circulating tumor DNA strongly predicts efficacy of chemotherapy plus immune checkpoint inhibitors in patients with advanced gastro-esophageal adenocarcinoma

 

Progression free survival

Overall survival

Characteristic

N

HR

95% CI

p-value

HR

95% CI

p-value

Sex

70

      

 Female

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

 Male

 

1.38

0.82, 2.33

0.23

1.25

0.69, 2.27

0.46

Age

70

0.99

0.97, 1.01

0.40

0.99

0.97, 1.02

0.55

ECOG PS

70

      

 0

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

 1

 

0.94

0.56, 1.58

0.82

1.20

0.68, 2.10

0.53

Primary tumor site

70

      

 GEJ

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

 Stomach

 

1.61

0.99, 2.63

0.055

2.22

1.28, 3.83

0.004

Tumor subtypea

70

      

 Diffuse

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

 Intestinal

 

0.82

0.49, 1.37

0.46

0.67

0.38, 1.18

0.17

 Other

 

0.56

0.21, 1.45

0.23

0.62

0.21, 1.81

0.38

Resection of primary tumor

70

      

 No

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

 Yes

 

0.97

0.57, 1.66

0.91

1.09

0.61, 1.93

0.78

Liver metastasis

70

      

 No

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

 Yes

 

1.90

1.14, 3.15

0.014

1.16

0.68, 1.99

0.59

Lung metastasis

70

      

 No

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

 Yes

 

0.96

0.52, 1.77

0.89

0.77

0.39;1.54

0.46

Peritoneal carcinomatosis

70

      

 No

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

 Yes

 

1.19

0.71;2.00

0.51

1.99

1.13; 3.50

0.017

Lymph node metastasis

70

      

 No

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

 Yes

 

0.91

0.56;1.48

0.71

0.92

0.54; 1.59

0.77

Time to metastatic disease

70

      

 Metachronous

 

0.76

0.45;1.27

0.29

0.86

0.5;1.48

0.62

 Synchronous

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

LDH (times normal)

64

1.86

1.17, 2.96

0.009

1.91

1.20, 3.03

0.006

ALP (times normal)

69

1.32

1.04, 1.68

0.024

1.37

1.08, 1.74

0.009

NLR

69

0.18

0.01, 2.58

0.20

0.14

0.01, 3.36

0.22

HER2 status

70

      

 Negative

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

 Positive

 

0.48

0.26, 0.88

0.017

0.39

0.19, 0.81

0.011

CPS PD-L1

48

      

  CPS ≥ 5

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

  CPS < 5

 

1.04

0.55;1.95

0.91

1.05

0.54; 2.03

0.89

TPS PD-L1

48

      

  TPS ≥ 1

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

  TPS < 1

 

1.30

0.66; 2.59

0.45

1.32

0.64; 2.73

0.45

ctDNA at diagnosis

70

      

 Negative

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

 Positive

 

1.38

0.60, 3.21

0.45

1.40

0.51, 3.89

0.52

 As continuous variable

 

1.05

0.99, 1.11

0.089

1.06

1.00, 1.12

0.046

cfDNA at diagnosis

70

1.04

1.01, 1.06

0.002

1.04

1.02, 1.07

<0.001

ctDNA kinetics between C0 and C3 (decrease < 75%)

54

2.09

1.19, 3.67

0.010

2.51

1.35, 4.68

0.004

  1. HR Hazard Ratio, CI Confidence interval, GEJ gastro-esophageal junction, LDH lactate dehydrogenase, ALP alkaline phosphatase, NLR neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, ref reference.
  2. a Lauren classification.