Table 2 LMM analysis for melatonin AUC and melatonin onset (covariate model)

From: Afternoon to early evening bright light exposure reduces later melatonin production in adolescents

Predictors

Estimates

CI (95%)

Std. error

df

t value

p

 

Melatonin AUC

Melatonin onset time

Melatonin AUC

Melatonin onset time

Melatonin AUC

Melatonin onset time

Melatonin AUC

Melatonin onset time

Melatonin AUC

Melatonin onset time

Melatonin AUC

Melatonin onset time

Intercept

179.05

18.45

21.45, 336.88

15.57, 21.33

88.92

1.63

15

15

-

-

-

-

Condition [moderate]

−7.37

0.30

−16.24, 1.43

−0.01, 0.61

4.56

0.16

37

37

−1.62

1.88

0.114

0.068

Condition [bright]

−11.29

0.35

−20.34, −2.49

0.04, 0.67

4.60

0.16

37

37

−2.45

2.17

0.019

0.037

Bright light history [TAT 1000 lx]

5.65

-0.16

1.19, 9.37

−0.28, −0.02

2.07

0.07

43

52

2.73

−2.41

0.009

0.020

*Chronotype [MSFsc]

-30.62

0.70

−66.81, 5.56

0.04, 1.35

20.41

0.37

14

14

−1.50

1.88

0.155

0.081

*Pubertal stage [late pubertal]

38.75

-0.35

−29.26, 106.71

−1.58, 0.88

38.34

0.70

15

14

1.01

−0.50

0.329

0.624

*Pubertal Stage [midpubertal]

-21.37

0.06

−98.36, 55.61

−1.34, 1.45

43.41

0.79

14

14

−0.49

0.07

0.630

0.945

*Pubertal Stage [early pubertal]

20.80

-1.07

−115.71, 157.17

−3.55, 1.41

76.94

1.41

15

14

0.27

−0.76

0.791

0.459

Random effects & Model fit criteria

σ2

τ00 subjects

ICC

N subjects

Observa-tions

Marginal R2 / Conditional R2

AIC

  

Evening melatonin AUC

207.54

4623.46

0.96

20

60

0.221 / 0.967

530.364

  

Melatonin onset time

0.26

1.47

0.85

20

60

0.244 / 0.888

162.679

  
  1. Summary report of linear mixed model (LMM) analyses for melatonin AUC (primary outcome) and melatonin onset (post-hoc analysis), applying the model with theoretically relevant covariates (covariate model). Estimates of the AEE light intervention conditions are given relative to the dim light condition. Estimates of pubertal stage are given relative to 'post pubertal stage'. Please note, that the intercept represents the expected value when all covariates are set to their reference or zero levels. Instead, the intercept of the sparse model (see Table 3) gives the mean melatonin AUC and onset after the 'dim' AEE light condition. P-Values of (p < 0.05) were considered as significant (in bold). The covariates marked with an asterisk (*) were used as passive stratification factors to control for additional variance. Accordingly, these LMM estimates were not interpreted to avoid a 'Table 2 fallacy'171.
  2. Abbreviations: AEE afternoon to early evening, AIC Akaike Information Criterion, AUC area under the curve, CI confidence interval (95%), df degrees of freedom, ICC Intraclass Correlation Coefficient, MSFSC midpoint of sleep on free days corrected for oversleep, Nsubjects number of subjects in the analysis, σ² variance of the residuals of the model, τ00 subjects variance in the random intercepts at the subject level, Std. error standard error of the estimates, TAT 1000lx time above threshold ( > 1000 lx illuminance, wrist-recorded).