Table 1 Comparison of the mean numbers of ruptured and nonruptured fibrous cap atheromas simulated with the SCD-Predict model and observed in the pathologic study10

From: Discrete Event Simulation Model of Sudden Cardiac Death Predicts High Impact of Preventive Interventions

  

Atheroma

Arrhythmia

 

Patients

Ruptured

Thin

Mid

Thick

Total

Rupture

Erosion

Stenosis

Total

Men (sim)

100

0.43

0.65

0.50

2.52

4.10

0.36

0.04

0.10

0.50

Men10

32

0.44

0.63

0.47

3.59

5.13

--

--

--

--

Women (sim)

100

0.27

0.24

0.35

1.90

2.76

0.24

0.02

0.06

0.32

Women10

18

0.28

0.17

0.44

1.78

2.67

--

--

--

--

Total (w.a.)

--

0.37

0.50

0.44

2.27

3.58

0.32

0.03

0.09

0.44

Total10

50

0.38

0.46

0.46

2.94

4.24

--

--

--

--

Men SCD (sim)

14

1.00

0.71

1.14

3.79

6.64

1.00

0.29

0.71

2.00

Men nonSCD (sim)

86

0.34

0.64

0.40

2.31

3.69

0.26

0.00

0.00

0.26

Women SCD (sim)

8

0.88

0.36

1.00

3.62

5.86

0.75

0.25

0.75

1.75

Women nonSCD (sim)

92

0.22

0.23

0.29

1.75

2.49

0.20

0.00

0.00

0.20

SCD (w.a.)

--

0.95

0.58

1.08

3.68

6.29

0.91

0.27

0.73

1.91

CV10

33

0.45

0.55

0.55

3.12

4.67

--

--

--

--

nonSCD (w.a.)

--

0.29

0.49

0.36

2.08

3.22

0.23

0.00

0.00

0.23

nonCV10

13

0.31

0.31

0.23

2.23

3.08

--

--

--

--