Nature Search

Publisher Correction: Planetary Boundaries guide humanity’s future on Earth

Johan Rockström
Jonathan F. Donges
Katherine Richardson
Amendments and Corrections05 Jun 2025
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment

Volume: 6, P: 484
Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model

Temporarily exceeding temperature targets could increase risk of crossing tipping-element thresholds. This study considers a range of overshoot scenarios in a stylized network model and shows that overshoots increase tipping risks by up to 72% compared with remaining within targets.

Nico Wunderling
Ricarda Winkelmann
Jonathan F. Donges
Research22 Dec 2022
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 13, P: 75-82
Global mean sea level likely higher than present during the holocene

Sea level data and models of solid Earth effects and ocean thermal expansion are used to show that global mean sea level and Antarctic ice volume were likely higher and smaller, respectively, in the mid-late Holocene than at the preindustrial.

Roger C. Creel
Jacqueline Austermann
Jonathan Kingslake
ResearchOpen Access30 Dec 2024
Nature Communications

Volume: 15, P: 1-14
Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks

Temporarily overshooting the 1.5 °C limit risks triggering climate tipping elements. This study finds that every 0.1 °C of warming increases risk, with a strong acceleration above +2.0 °C. Achieving net-zero emissions by 2100 is crucial to minimise long-term risks.

Tessa Möller
Annika Ernest Högner
Nico Wunderling
ResearchOpen Access01 Aug 2024
Nature Communications

Volume: 15, P: 1-11
A systemic risk assessment methodological framework for the global polycrisis

This paper proposes a framework to assess systemic risks that compound and cascade within and between systems. This emphasizes political economy and transformations, as well as trans-disciplinarity and diverse participation, evidence and methods.

Ajay Gambhir
Michael J. Albert
Ruth Richardson
ReviewsOpen Access14 Aug 2025
Nature Communications

Volume: 16, P: 1-14
When optimization for governing human-environment tipping elements is neither sustainable nor safe

Economic optimization in environmental governance was criticized for delivering short-term gains at the expense of long-term environmental degradation. Here, the authors use a stylized model of human-environment tipping elements to show no paradigm guarantees fulfilling another paradigm.

Wolfram Barfuss
Jonathan F. Donges
Jürgen Kurths
ResearchOpen Access15 Jun 2018
Nature Communications

Volume: 9, P: 1-10
Global warming due to loss of large ice masses and Arctic summer sea ice

The disintegration of cryosphere elements such as the Arctic summer sea ice, mountain glaciers, Greenland and West Antarctica is associated with temperature and radiative feedbacks. In this work, the authors quantify these feedbacks and find an additional global warming of 0.43°C.

Nico Wunderling
Matteo Willeit
Ricarda Winkelmann
ResearchOpen Access27 Oct 2020
Nature Communications

Volume: 11, P: 1-8
The hysteresis of the Antarctic Ice Sheet

Modelling shows that the Antarctic Ice Sheet exhibits multiple temperature thresholds beyond which ice loss would become irreversible, and once melted, the ice sheet can regain its previous mass only if the climate cools well below pre-industrial temperatures.

Julius Garbe
Torsten Albrecht
Ricarda Winkelmann
Research23 Sept 2020
Nature

Volume: 585, P: 538-544
Identifying causal gateways and mediators in complex spatio-temporal systems

Identifying regions important for spreading and mediating perturbations is crucial to assess the susceptibilities of complex systems such as the Earth’s climate. Here the authors introduce a data-driven approach that identifies causal pathways, and apply it to a global atmospheric data set.

Jakob Runge
Vladimir Petoukhov
Jürgen Kurths
ResearchOpen Access07 Oct 2015
Nature Communications

Volume: 6, P: 1-10
Amplified Rossby waves enhance risk of concurrent heatwaves in major breadbasket regions

A large-scale meandering in the jet stream can cause simultaneous heat extremes in distant regions. When Rossby waves with wavenumbers 5 and 7 dominate circulation, there is an increased risk of heat extremes across major food-producing regions, raising the potential of multiple crop failures.

Kai Kornhuber
Dim Coumou
Radley M. Horton
Research09 Dec 2019
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 10, P: 48-53
Human impacts on planetary boundaries amplified by Earth system interactions

The cascading effects and feedbacks of interactions between planetary boundaries shrink the safe operating space originally identified by analysing each boundary separately.

Steven J. Lade
Will Steffen
Johan Rockström
Research16 Dec 2019
Nature Sustainability

Volume: 3, P: 119-128
Clustered marginalization of minorities during social transitions induced by co-evolution of behaviour and network structure

Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Jonathan F. Donges
Anders Levermann
ResearchOpen Access11 Aug 2016
Scientific Reports

Volume: 6, P: 1-12
Planetary Boundaries guide humanity’s future on Earth

The Planetary Boundary (PB) framework — which provides guardrails to maintain the safe operating space for humanity — has received widespread scientific and societal interest. This Review outlines the emergence and mainstreaming of PB thinking, including relevance to Earth system science, justice, governance, economics and sustainability.

Johan Rockström
Jonathan F. Donges
Katherine Richardson
Reviews08 Nov 2024
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment

Volume: 5, P: 773-788
Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system

A synthesis of intervals of rapid climatic change evident in the geological record reveals some of the Earth system processes and tipping points that could lead to similar events in the future.

Victor Brovkin
Edward Brook
Zicheng Yu
Reviews29 Jul 2021
Nature Geoscience

Volume: 14, P: 550-558
A network-based microfoundation of Granovetter’s threshold model for social tipping

Marc Wiedermann
E. Keith Smith
Jonathan F. Donges
ResearchOpen Access08 Jul 2020
Scientific Reports

Volume: 10, P: 1-10
Coherent response of the Indian Monsoon Rainfall to Atlantic Multi-decadal Variability over the last 2000 years

Pothuri Divakar Naidu
Raja Ganeshram
Jonathan F. Donges
ResearchOpen Access28 Jan 2020
Scientific Reports

Volume: 10, P: 1-11

Search

Filter By:

Search

Quick links