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Earthquake prediction

A seismic shift in thinking

Earthquake researchers in the United States have long shunned the word ‘prediction’. But, thanks to improved data and a change in public perception, cracks are beginning to appear in their resolve. David Cyranoski tracks the debate.

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Author notes

  1. David Cyranoski is Nature's Asian-Pacific correspondent.

    • David Cyranoski
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www.nature.com/nature/debates/earthquake/equake_6.html

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Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models

Southern California Earthquake Center

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Cyranoski, D. A seismic shift in thinking. Nature 431, 1032 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1038/4311032a

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