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Psychiatric predictors of first-onset suicidal thoughts and behaviors throughout preadolescence: longitudinal associations in a US population-based study
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  • Published: 06 April 2026

Psychiatric predictors of first-onset suicidal thoughts and behaviors throughout preadolescence: longitudinal associations in a US population-based study

  • Rachel F. L. Walsh1,2,
  • Ana E. Sheehan1,2,
  • Taylor A. Burke1,2 &
  • …
  • Richard T. Liu  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-1367-97161,2,3 

Translational Psychiatry , Article number:  (2026) Cite this article

We are providing an unedited version of this manuscript to give early access to its findings. Before final publication, the manuscript will undergo further editing. Please note there may be errors present which affect the content, and all legal disclaimers apply.

Subjects

  • Human behaviour
  • Psychiatric disorders

Abstract

Rates of suicidal thoughts and behaviors are increasing among preadolescent children, yet there is a paucity of longitudinal research among this developmental group. This study evaluated prospective associations between current and lifetime psychiatric disorders and first-onset suicidal ideation (SI), first-onset suicide attempts (SA), and the transition from SI to SA over the course of preadolescence, and estimated the prevalence of psychiatric treatment utilization among preadolescents with SI and SA. Data were drawn from the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development study. Preadolescents ages 9–10 from 21 sites across the country completed follow-up assessments every 12 months. The sample was restricted to preadolescents under age 13 at their two-year follow-up (n = 9940). In multivariate models, current major depressive disorder (MDD OR = 2.14, [95% CI = 1.10–4.15]), obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD OR = 1.42, 95%CI = [1.12–1.81]), attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD OR = 1.88, [95%CI = 1.49–2.36]), and binge eating disorder (BED OR = 2.42 [95% CI = 1.25–4.72]) were most robustly predictive of first-onset SI. Only lifetime depression predicted first-onset SA (OR = 2.52, [OR = 1.58–4.00]). No disorders predicted the transition from SI to SA. Rates of psychiatric treatment utilization were 29.38% and 53.91% for first-onset SI and SA, respectively. Based on their small effect sizes, MDD, OCD, ADHD and BED may offer modest value in ascertaining risk for SI. Clinicians and researchers may benefit from looking beyond psychiatric disorders to understand risk for SA. Many preadolescents with SI and SA do not present in psychiatric care settings. Widespread risk screenings in other settings (e.g., primary care) may facilitate early detection and reduce the treatment gap for children at risk for SI and SA.

Data availability

The ABCD dataset is publicly available at the National Institute of Mental Health Data Archive (NDA) (https://nda.nih.gov/). NDA study and data information for the current study is available online at https://nda.nih.gov/study.html?id=1791.

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Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank the participants and staff of the ABCD study.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Psychiatry, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, US

    Rachel F. L. Walsh, Ana E. Sheehan, Taylor A. Burke & Richard T. Liu

  2. Department of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Boston, US

    Rachel F. L. Walsh, Ana E. Sheehan, Taylor A. Burke & Richard T. Liu

  3. Stanley Center for Psychiatric Research, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, US

    Richard T. Liu

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Contributions

RW: conceptualization, formal analysis, writing – original draft; AS: Formal analysis, writing – original draft; TB: conceptualization, writing – review & editing; RL: conceptualization, writing – review & editing.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Rachel F. L. Walsh.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

Richard Liu currently serves as a consultant for Relmada Therapeutics.

Ethical approval and consent to participate

The ABCD study was approved by the ethical committees of each institution involved. All parents/legal guardians gave written informed consent as well as permission for youth to participate. Youth gave written assent. No identifiable images from human research participants were involved in the current study.

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Walsh, R.F.L., Sheehan, A.E., Burke, T.A. et al. Psychiatric predictors of first-onset suicidal thoughts and behaviors throughout preadolescence: longitudinal associations in a US population-based study. Transl Psychiatry (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41398-026-03980-0

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  • Received: 23 June 2025

  • Revised: 18 February 2026

  • Accepted: 10 March 2026

  • Published: 06 April 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41398-026-03980-0

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