Table 3 Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves with area under the curve (AUC) analysis to identify optimal cut-offs for continuous risk factors (identified from Table 2) with respect to progression to MM within 2 years.

From: International Myeloma Working Group risk stratification model for smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM)

 

Cut point

Specificity (%)

Sensitivity (%)

Age (per 10 years)

57

28

80.6

Hemoglobin (g/dL)

13.3

39.9

73.3

Creatinine (mg/dL)

0.81

42.9

66

Albumin (g/dL)

4.09

46.4

64

Serum M-protein (g/dL)

1.91

60

70.6

Beta-2 microglobulin (mg/dL)

2.57

65.7

52.8

Absolute difference Kappa-Lambda (mg/dL), per 100

18.5

66

54.6

Involved to uninvolved sFLC ratio, per 100

19.3

78.7

54.7

Urine M-spike (mg/24 h), per 1000

75

83.1

29.8

BMPC, higher of biopsy and aspirate %

16.4

58.1

71.8